This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 45% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 560%needs 45% to break even | 27%–86% | 15 points betterwon 60%, needs 45% |
| Last 10 games | 6 of 1060%needs 45% to break even | 35%–81% | 15 points betterwon 60%, needs 45% |
| Last 15 games | 10 of 1567%needs 45% to break even | 46%–83% | 21 points betterwon 67%, needs 45% |
| This season | 4 of 667%needs 45% to break even | 35%–88% | 21 points betterwon 67%, needs 45% |
| Last season | 10 of 1759%needs 45% to break even | 39%–76% | 14 points betterwon 59%, needs 45% |
| Every game | 14 of 2361%needs 45% to break even | 44%–76% | 16 points betterwon 61%, needs 45% |
Tonight NYG plays on the road, as the underdog, after a loss, against HOU. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Total points in each game against over 44.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 37.5 game total, NYG gamesNew York Giants · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET |
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NYG +8.5 spreadNew York Giants · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET |
| 61 |
| +16.5 |
| Won |
| Oct 11 | 54 | +9.5 | Won |
| Oct 4 | 60 | +15.5 | Won |
| Sep 27 | 19 | -25.5 | Lost |
| Sep 21 | 34 | -10.5 | Lost |
| Sep 13 | 48 | +3.5 | Won |
| Last season | ||||
| Jan 4 | 51 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Dec 28 | 44 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Dec 21 | 29 | -15.5 | Lost |
| Dec 14 | 50 | +5.5 | Won |
| Dec 1 | 48 | +3.5 | Won |
| Nov 23 | 61 | +16.5 | Won |
| Nov 16 | 47 | +2.5 | Won |
| Nov 9 | 44 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Nov 2 | 58 | +13.5 | Won |
| Oct 26 | 58 | +13.5 | Won |
| Oct 19 | 65 | +20.5 | Won |
| Oct 9 | 51 | +6.5 | Won |
| Oct 5 | 40 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Sep 28 | 39 | -5.5 | Lost |
| Sep 21 | 31 | -13.5 | Lost |
| Sep 14 | 77 | +32.5 | Won |
| Sep 7 | 27 | -17.5 | Lost |
| 2 of 5· last 5 games40%needs 36% to break even |
| -20.6Not beating its price |
| Under 38.5 game total, NYG gamesNew York Giants · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +155at Polymarket | 2 of 5· last 5 games40%needs 39% to break even | -23.6Not beating its price |
| Under 40.5 game total, NYG gamesNew York Giants · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +131at Polymarket | 5 of 17· last season29%needs 43% to break even | Record is last season's | -25.3Not beating its price |
| Under 41.5 game total, NYG gamesNew York Giants · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +109at Kalshi | 5 of 17· last season29%needs 48% to break even | Record is last season's | -29.1Not beating its price |
| Under 42.5 game total, NYG gamesNew York Giants · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -103at Kalshi | 5 of 17· last season29%needs 51% to break even | Record is last season's | -31.4Not beating its price |
| Under 43 game total, NYG gamesNew York Giants · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -105at Hard Rock | 5 of 17· last season29%needs 51% to break even | Record is last season's | -31.8Not beating its price |
| Under 43.5 game total, NYG gamesNew York Giants · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -126at Kalshi | 5 of 17· last season29%needs 56% to break even | Record is last season's | -35.6Not beating its price |
| Under 44.5 game total, NYG gamesNew York Giants · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -139at Polymarket | 7 of 17· last season41%needs 58% to break even | Record is last season's | -33.1Not beating its price |
| Under 45.5 game total, NYG gamesNew York Giants · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -154at Kalshi | 7 of 17· last season41%needs 61% to break even | Record is last season's | -35.1Not beating its price |
| Under 46.5 game total, NYG gamesNew York Giants · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -175at Kalshi | 7 of 17· last season41%needs 64% to break even | Record is last season's | -37.6Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| 9 of 10· last 10 games90%needs 46% to break even |
| 5.1Good |
| NYG +9.5 spreadNew York Giants · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +116at Polymarket | 9 of 10· last 10 games90%needs 46% to break even | 5.1Good |
| NYG +10.5 spreadNew York Giants · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | NV-106at Novig | 13 of 15· last 15 games87%needs 51% to break even | 3.3Good |
| NYG +7.5 spreadNew York Giants · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +126at Polymarket | 8 of 10· last 10 games80%needs 44% to break even | 2.7Slight |
| NYG +2.5 1st half spreadNew York Giants · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +193at Polymarket | 10 of 17· last season59%needs 34% to break even | Record is last season's | 1.3Slight |
| NYG to win moneylineNew York Giants · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | NV+413at Novig | 5 of 9· last 10 games, 1 skipped56%needs 19% to break even | 1.0Slight |
| NYG +4.5 spreadNew York Giants · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +202at Polymarket | 7 of 10· last 10 games70%needs 33% to break even | 0.5Slight |
| Over 17.5 team totalNew York Giants · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +134at Kalshi | 11 of 15· last 15 games73%needs 43% to break even | 0.2Slight |
| NYG +3.5 1st half spreadNew York Giants · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +137at Polymarket | 12 of 17· last season71%needs 42% to break even | Record is last season's | -0.5Not beating its price |
| NYG +5.5 spreadNew York Giants · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +181at Kalshi | 7 of 10· last 10 games70%needs 36% to break even | -1.5Not beating its price |
| NYG +13.5 spreadNew York Giants · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -154at Kalshi | 13 of 15· last 15 games87%needs 61% to break even | -1.6Not beating its price |
| NYG +2.5 3rd quarter spreadNew York Giants · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -103at Kalshi | 12 of 15· last 15 games80%needs 51% to break even | -2.4Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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