This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 43% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 560%needs 43% to break even | 27%–86% | 17 points betterwon 60%, needs 43% |
| Last 10 games | 7 of 1070%needs 43% to break even | 44%–87% | 27 points betterwon 70%, needs 43% |
| Last 15 games | 10 of 1567%needs 43% to break even | 46%–83% | 24 points betterwon 67%, needs 43% |
| This season | 4 of 667%needs 43% to break even | 35%–88% | 24 points betterwon 67%, needs 43% |
| Last season | 12 of 1771%needs 43% to break even | 51%–85% | 28 points betterwon 71%, needs 43% |
| Every game | 16 of 2370%needs 43% to break even | 52%–83% | 27 points betterwon 70%, needs 43% |
Tonight NYG plays on the road, as the underdog, after a loss, against HOU. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
1H margin in each game against nyg 1h +3.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NYG +8.5 spreadNew York Giants · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET |
| 0 |
| +3.5 |
| Won |
| Oct 11 | -9 | -5.5 | Lost |
| Oct 4 | 2 | +5.5 | Won |
| Sep 27 | 9 | +12.5 | Won |
| Sep 21 | -11 | -7.5 | Lost |
| Sep 13 | 7 | +10.5 | Won |
| Last season | ||||
| Jan 4 | 6 | +9.5 | Won | |
| Dec 28 | 14 | +17.5 | Won |
| Dec 21 | -3 | +0.5 | Won |
| Dec 14 | -15 | -11.5 | Lost |
| Dec 1 | -23 | -19.5 | Lost |
| Nov 23 | 3 | +6.5 | Won |
| Nov 16 | 0 | +3.5 | Won |
| Nov 9 | 3 | +6.5 | Won |
| Nov 2 | -10 | -6.5 | Lost |
| Oct 26 | -11 | -7.5 | Lost |
| Oct 19 | 13 | +16.5 | Won |
| Oct 9 | 3 | +6.5 | Won |
| Oct 5 | -2 | +1.5 | Won |
| Sep 28 | 3 | +6.5 | Won |
| Sep 21 | -3 | +0.5 | Won |
| Sep 14 | 3 | +6.5 | Won |
| Sep 7 | -11 | -7.5 | Lost |
| 9 of 10· last 10 games90%needs 46% to break even |
| 5.1Good |
| NYG +9.5 spreadNew York Giants · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +116at Polymarket | 9 of 10· last 10 games90%needs 46% to break even | 5.1Good |
| NYG +10.5 spreadNew York Giants · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | NV-106at Novig | 13 of 15· last 15 games87%needs 51% to break even | 3.3Good |
| NYG +7.5 spreadNew York Giants · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +126at Polymarket | 8 of 10· last 10 games80%needs 44% to break even | 2.7Slight |
| NYG +4.5 spreadNew York Giants · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +208at Kalshi | 7 of 10· last 10 games70%needs 32% to break even | 1.1Slight |
| NYG to win moneylineNew York Giants · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | NV+413at Novig | 5 of 9· last 10 games, 1 skipped56%needs 19% to break even | 1.0Slight |
| Over 17.5 team totalNew York Giants · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +134at Kalshi | 11 of 15· last 15 games73%needs 43% to break even | 0.2Slight |
| NYG +5.5 spreadNew York Giants · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +189at Kalshi | 7 of 10· last 10 games70%needs 35% to break even | -0.7Not beating its price |
| NYG +0.5 3rd quarter spreadNew York Giants · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +105at Kalshi | 12 of 15· last 15 games80%needs 49% to break even | -0.8Not beating its price |
| NYG +13.5 spreadNew York Giants · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -154at Kalshi | 13 of 15· last 15 games87%needs 61% to break even | -1.6Not beating its price |
| Over 46.5 game total, NYG gamesNew York Giants · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +155at Polymarket | 10 of 15· last 15 games67%needs 39% to break even | -1.8Not beating its price |
| NYG +2.5 3rd quarter spreadNew York Giants · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -103at Kalshi | 12 of 15· last 15 games80%needs 51% to break even | -2.4Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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