This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 55% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 5 of 5100%needs 55% to break even | 65%–100% | 45 points betterwon 100%, needs 55% | 5.2rushing yards |
| Last 10 games | 6 of 1060%needs 55% to break even | 35%–81% | 5 points betterwon 60%, needs 55% | 34.6rushing yards |
| Last 15 games | 7 of 1547%needs 55% to break even | 28%–67% | 8 points shortwon 47%, needs 55% | 41.4rushing yards |
| This season | 6 of 6100%needs 55% to break even | 69%–100% | 45 points betterwon 100%, needs 55% | 6.7rushing yards |
| Last season | 3 of 1520%needs 55% to break even | 8%–41% | 35 points shortwon 20%, needs 55% | 49.3rushing yards |
| Every game | 9 of 2143%needs 55% to break even | 27%–60% | 12 points shortwon 43%, needs 55% | 37.1rushing yards |
Tonight NYG plays on the road, as the underdog, after a loss, against HOU. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 3 of 10 on the road. Tonight: HOU allows 75.8 rushing yards a game to running backs, the 6th fewest of 32 defenses (the average defense allows 89.6): an easy matchup for this bet. How HOU defends running backs
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Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Rushing yards in each game against under 21.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Rushing yards | Beat 21.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Wk 6 | 18 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Wk 5 | 6 | +15.5 | Won | |
| Wk 4 | -1 | +22.5 | Won | |
| Wk 3 | 3 | +18.5 | Won | |
| Wk 2 | 0 | +21.5 | Won | |
| Wk 1 | 14 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Last season | ||||
| Wk 18 | 103 | -81.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 17 | 62 | -40.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 16 | 71 | -49.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 15 | 70 | -48.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 13 | 36 | -14.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 12 | 62 | -40.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 11 | 88 | -66.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 10 | 71 | -49.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 9 | 18 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Wk 8 | 39 | -17.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 7 | 46 | -24.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 6 | 6 | +15.5 | Won | |
| Wk 3 | 29 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 2 | 15 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Wk 1 | 24 | -2.5 | Lost | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 19.5 rushing yardsTyrone Tracy Jr. · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | -136at BetRivers | 12 of 15· last season80%needs 58% to break even7 of 10 on the road | Record is last season's | -26.1Not beating its price | |
| Over 21.5 rushing yardsTyrone Tracy Jr. · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | -112at BetRivers | 12 of 15· last season80%needs 53% to break even7 of 10 on the road | Record is last season's | -22.2Not beating its price | |
| Over 23.5 rushing yardsTyrone Tracy Jr. · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | -110at BetOnline | 12 of 15· last season80%needs 52% to break even7 of 10 on the road | Record is last season's | -21.9Not beating its price | |
| Over 24.5 rushing yardsTyrone Tracy Jr. · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | -103at Kalshi | 11 of 15· last season73%needs 51% to break even6 of 10 on the road | Record is last season's | -21.9Not beating its price | |
| Over 29.5 rushing yardsTyrone Tracy Jr. · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | +185at BetRivers | 10 of 15· last season67%needs 35% to break even6 of 10 on the road | Record is last season's | -10.6Not beating its price | |
| Over 33.5 rushing yardsTyrone Tracy Jr. · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | +130at BetOnline | 10 of 15· last season67%needs 43% to break even6 of 10 on the road | Record is last season's | -17.4Not beating its price | |
| Over 43.5 rushing yardsTyrone Tracy Jr. · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | +187at BetOnline | 8 of 15· last season53%needs 35% to break even4 of 10 on the road | Record is last season's | -13.8Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
This player's other props in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price. A yes-or-no bet (a draw, both teams to score, a TD) shows one same-size bar per game, green when it won.