This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 43% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 43% to break even | 14%–73% | 3 points shortwon 40%, needs 43% | 10.4receiving yards |
| Last 10 games | 4 of 1040%needs 43% to break even | 19%–65% | 3 points shortwon 40%, needs 43% | 13.7receiving yards |
| Last 15 games | 7 of 1547%needs 43% to break even | 28%–67% | 4 points betterwon 47%, needs 43% | 18.1receiving yards |
| This season | 2 of 633%needs 43% to break even | 12%–65% | 10 points shortwon 33%, needs 43% | 8.7receiving yards |
| Last season |
Tonight NYG plays on the road, as the underdog, after a loss, against HOU. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 3 of 10 on the road. Tonight: HOU allows 22.2 receiving yards a game to running backs, the 6th fewest of 32 defenses (the average defense allows 31.3): a tough matchup for this bet. How HOU defends running backs
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Receiving yards in each game against over 18.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Receiving yards | Beat 18.5 by | Bet |
|---|
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
This player's other props in the game.
| 22%–61% |
| 3 points shortwon 40%, needs 43% |
| 19.2receiving yards |
| Every game | 8 of 2138%needs 43% to break even | 23%–56% | 5 points shortwon 38%, needs 43% | 16.2receiving yards |
| This season | ||||
| Wk 6 | 27 | +8.5 | Won | |
| Wk 5 | 25 | +6.5 | Won |
| Wk 4 | 0 | -18.5 | Lost |
| Wk 3 | 0 | -18.5 | Lost |
| Wk 2 | 0 | -18.5 | Lost |
| Wk 1 | 0 | -18.5 | Lost |
| Last season | ||||
| Wk 18 | 56 | +37.5 | Won | |
| Wk 17 | -5 | -23.5 | Lost |
| Wk 16 | 7 | -11.5 | Lost |
| Wk 15 | 27 | +8.5 | Won |
| Wk 13 | -3 | -21.5 | Lost |
| Wk 12 | 68 | +49.5 | Won |
| Wk 11 | 51 | +32.5 | Won |
| Wk 10 | 0 | -18.5 | Lost |
| Wk 9 | 19 | +0.5 | Won |
| Wk 8 | 14 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Wk 7 | 0 | -18.5 | Lost |
| Wk 6 | 0 | -18.5 | Lost |
| Wk 3 | 7 | -11.5 | Lost |
| Wk 2 | 36 | +17.5 | Won |
| Wk 1 | 11 | -7.5 | Lost |
| -108at DraftKings |
| 6 of 10· last 10 games60%needs 52% to break even5 of 10 on the road |
| -16.4Not beating its price |
| Under 9.5 receiving yardsTyrone Tracy Jr. · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | -114at FanDuel | 6 of 10· last 10 games60%needs 53% to break even5 of 10 on the road | -17.5Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| +119at Kalshi |
| 6 of 6· this season100%needs 46% to break even3 of 10 on the road |
| Record is this season's |
| -6.1Not beating its price |
| Under 14.5 rushing yardsTyrone Tracy Jr. · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | +198at Kalshi | 5 of 6· this season83%needs 34% to break even2 of 10 on the road | Record is this season's | -6.3Not beating its price |
| Over 49.5 rush + rec yardsTyrone Tracy Jr. · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | +255at BetRivers | 9 of 15· last season60%needs 28% to break even5 of 10 on the road | Record is last season's | -7.2Not beating its price |
| Scores a TDTyrone Tracy Jr. · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | +456at Kalshi | 3 of 10· last 10 games30%needs 18% to break even1 of 10 on the road | -8.3Not beating its price |
| Over 29.5 rushing yardsTyrone Tracy Jr. · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | +185at BetRivers | 10 of 15· last season67%needs 35% to break even6 of 10 on the road | Record is last season's | -10.6Not beating its price |
| Over 2.5 receptionsTyrone Tracy Jr. · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | +318at DraftKings | 6 of 15· last season40%needs 24% to break even2 of 10 on the road | Record is last season's | -10.9Not beating its price |
| Under 24.5 rushing yardsTyrone Tracy Jr. · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | -116at DraftKings | 6 of 6· this season100%needs 54% to break even4 of 10 on the road | Record is this season's | -11.7Not beating its price |
| Under 23.5 rushing yardsTyrone Tracy Jr. · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | -114at FanDuel | 6 of 6· this season100%needs 53% to break even3 of 10 on the road | Record is this season's | -12.2Not beating its price |
| Under 21.5 rushing yardsTyrone Tracy Jr. · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | -120at BetRivers | 6 of 6· this season100%needs 55% to break even3 of 10 on the road | Record is this season's | -13.2Not beating its price |
| Over 43.5 rushing yardsTyrone Tracy Jr. · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | +187at BetOnline | 8 of 15· last season53%needs 35% to break even4 of 10 on the road | Record is last season's | -13.8Not beating its price |
| Over 1.5 receptionsTyrone Tracy Jr. · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | +105at BetOnline | 10 of 15· last season67%needs 49% to break even5 of 10 on the road | Record is last season's | -16.9Not beating its price |
| Under 37.5 rush + rec yardsTyrone Tracy Jr. · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | -113at DraftKings | 5 of 6· this season83%needs 53% to break even4 of 10 on the road | Record is this season's | -17.2Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price. A yes-or-no bet (a draw, both teams to score, a TD) shows one same-size bar per game, green when it won.
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