This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 39% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 39% to break even | 14%–73% | 1 points betterwon 40%, needs 39% |
| Last 10 games | 4 of 1040%needs 39% to break even | 19%–65% | 1 points betterwon 40%, needs 39% |
| Last 15 games | 7 of 1547%needs 39% to break even | 28%–67% | 8 points betterwon 47%, needs 39% |
| This season | 2 of 633%needs 39% to break even | 12%–65% | 5 points shortwon 33%, needs 39% |
| Last season | 6 of 1540%needs 39% to break even | 22%–61% | 1 points betterwon 40%, needs 39% |
Tonight NYG plays on the road, as the underdog, after a loss, against HOU. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Receiving yards in each game against over 14.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Receiving yards | Beat 14.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Wk 6 | 27 | +12.5 | Won | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 9.5 receiving yardsTyrone Tracy Jr. |
This player's other props in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 19.5 rushing yardsTyrone Tracy Jr. |
| Every game | 8 of 2138%needs 39% to break even | 23%–56% | 1 points shortwon 38%, needs 39% |
| Wk 5 | 25 | +10.5 | Won |
| Wk 4 | 0 | -14.5 | Lost |
| Wk 3 | 0 | -14.5 | Lost |
| Wk 2 | 0 | -14.5 | Lost |
| Wk 1 | 0 | -14.5 | Lost |
| Last season | ||||
| Wk 18 | 56 | +41.5 | Won | |
| Wk 17 | -5 | -19.5 | Lost |
| Wk 16 | 7 | -7.5 | Lost |
| Wk 15 | 27 | +12.5 | Won |
| Wk 13 | -3 | -17.5 | Lost |
| Wk 12 | 68 | +53.5 | Won |
| Wk 11 | 51 | +36.5 | Won |
| Wk 10 | 0 | -14.5 | Lost |
| Wk 9 | 19 | +4.5 | Won |
| Wk 8 | 14 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Wk 7 | 0 | -14.5 | Lost |
| Wk 6 | 0 | -14.5 | Lost |
| Wk 3 | 7 | -7.5 | Lost |
| Wk 2 | 36 | +21.5 | Won |
| Wk 1 | 11 | -3.5 | Lost |
| -114at FanDuel |
| 6 of 10· last 10 games60%needs 53% to break even |
| -17.5Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| +119at Kalshi |
| 6 of 6· this season100%needs 46% to break even |
| Record is this season's |
| -6.1Not beating its price |
| Under 14.5 rushing yardsTyrone Tracy Jr. · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +198at Kalshi | 5 of 6· this season83%needs 34% to break even | Record is this season's | -6.3Not beating its price |
| Under 23.5 rushing yardsTyrone Tracy Jr. · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -114at FanDuel | 6 of 6· this season100%needs 53% to break even | Record is this season's | -12.2Not beating its price |
| Under 22.5 rushing yardsTyrone Tracy Jr. · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -120at BetRivers | 6 of 6· this season100%needs 55% to break even | Record is this season's | -13.2Not beating its price |
| Under 24.5 rushing yardsTyrone Tracy Jr. · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -126at Kalshi | 6 of 6· this season100%needs 56% to break even | Record is this season's | -13.3Not beating its price |
| Over 29.5 rushing yardsTyrone Tracy Jr. · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +140at Kalshi | 10 of 15· last season67%needs 42% to break even | Record is last season's | -15.9Not beating its price |
| Over 1.5 receptionsTyrone Tracy Jr. · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +105at Kalshi | 10 of 15· last season67%needs 49% to break even | Record is last season's | -16.9Not beating its price |
| Over 39.5 rush + rec yardsTyrone Tracy Jr. · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +105at Kalshi | 10 of 15· last season67%needs 49% to break even | Record is last season's | -19.3Not beating its price |
| Under 29.5 rushing yardsTyrone Tracy Jr. · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -183at Kalshi | 6 of 6· this season100%needs 65% to break even | Record is this season's | -19.6Not beating its price |
| Under 39.5 rush + rec yardsTyrone Tracy Jr. · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -137at Kalshi | 5 of 6· this season83%needs 58% to break even | Record is this season's | -21.1Not beating its price |
| Over 23.5 rushing yardsTyrone Tracy Jr. · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -108at DraftKings | 12 of 15· last season80%needs 52% to break even | Record is last season's | -21.5Not beating its price |
| Over 24.5 rushing yardsTyrone Tracy Jr. · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -103at Kalshi | 11 of 15· last season73%needs 51% to break even | Record is last season's | -21.9Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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