This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 35% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 0 of 50%needs 35% to break even | 0%–35% | 35 points shortwon 0%, needs 35% | 5.2rushing yards |
| Last 10 games | 4 of 1040%needs 35% to break even | 19%–65% | 5 points betterwon 40%, needs 35% | 34.6rushing yards |
| Last 15 games | 7 of 1547%needs 35% to break even | 28%–67% | 12 points betterwon 47%, needs 35% | 41.4rushing yards |
| This season | 0 of 60%needs 35% to break even | 0%–31% | 35 points shortwon 0%, needs 35% | 6.7rushing yards |
| Last season |
Tonight NYG plays on the road, as the underdog, after a loss, against HOU. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 4 of 10 on the road. Tonight: HOU allows 75.8 rushing yards a game to running backs, the 6th fewest of 32 defenses (the average defense allows 89.6): a tough matchup for this bet. How HOU defends running backs
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Rushing yards in each game against over 43.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Rushing yards | Beat 43.5 by | Bet |
|---|
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
This player's other props in the game.
| 33%–72% |
| 18 points betterwon 53%, needs 35% |
| 49.3rushing yards |
| Every game | 8 of 2138%needs 35% to break even | 23%–56% | 3 points betterwon 38%, needs 35% | 37.1rushing yards |
| This season | ||||
| Wk 6 | 18 | -25.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 5 | 6 | -37.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 4 | -1 | -44.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 3 | 3 | -40.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 2 | 0 | -43.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 1 | 14 | -29.5 | Lost | |
| Last season | ||||
| Wk 18 | 103 | +59.5 | Won | |
| Wk 17 | 62 | +18.5 | Won | |
| Wk 16 | 71 | +27.5 | Won | |
| Wk 15 | 70 | +26.5 | Won | |
| Wk 13 | 36 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 12 | 62 | +18.5 | Won | |
| Wk 11 | 88 | +44.5 | Won | |
| Wk 10 | 71 | +27.5 | Won | |
| Wk 9 | 18 | -25.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 8 | 39 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 7 | 46 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Wk 6 | 6 | -37.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 3 | 29 | -14.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 2 | 15 | -28.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 1 | 24 | -19.5 | Lost | |
| +198at Kalshi |
| 5 of 6· this season83%needs 34% to break even2 of 10 on the road |
| Record is this season's |
| -6.3Not beating its price |
| Under 19.5 rushing yardsTyrone Tracy Jr. · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | +119at Kalshi | 6 of 6· this season100%needs 46% to break even3 of 10 on the road | Record is this season's | -6.1Not beating its price |
| Under 21.5 rushing yardsTyrone Tracy Jr. · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | -120at BetRivers | 6 of 6· this season100%needs 55% to break even3 of 10 on the road | Record is this season's | -13.2Not beating its price |
| Under 23.5 rushing yardsTyrone Tracy Jr. · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | -114at FanDuel | 6 of 6· this season100%needs 53% to break even3 of 10 on the road | Record is this season's | -12.2Not beating its price |
| Under 24.5 rushing yardsTyrone Tracy Jr. · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | -116at DraftKings | 6 of 6· this season100%needs 54% to break even4 of 10 on the road | Record is this season's | -11.7Not beating its price |
| Under 29.5 rushing yardsTyrone Tracy Jr. · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | -183at Kalshi | 6 of 6· this season100%needs 65% to break even4 of 10 on the road | Record is this season's | -19.6Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| +255at BetRivers |
| 9 of 15· last season60%needs 28% to break even5 of 10 on the road |
| Record is last season's |
| -7.2Not beating its price |
| Scores a TDTyrone Tracy Jr. · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | +456at Kalshi | 3 of 10· last 10 games30%needs 18% to break even1 of 10 on the road | -8.3Not beating its price |
| Over 2.5 receptionsTyrone Tracy Jr. · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | +318at DraftKings | 6 of 15· last season40%needs 24% to break even2 of 10 on the road | Record is last season's | -10.9Not beating its price |
| Over 14.5 receiving yardsTyrone Tracy Jr. · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | +167at DraftKings | 7 of 15· last 15 games47%needs 37% to break even3 of 10 on the road | -14.5Not beating its price |
| Under 8.5 receiving yardsTyrone Tracy Jr. · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | -108at DraftKings | 6 of 10· last 10 games60%needs 52% to break even5 of 10 on the road | -16.4Not beating its price |
| Over 1.5 receptionsTyrone Tracy Jr. · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | +105at BetOnline | 10 of 15· last season67%needs 49% to break even5 of 10 on the road | Record is last season's | -16.9Not beating its price |
| Under 37.5 rush + rec yardsTyrone Tracy Jr. · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | -113at DraftKings | 5 of 6· this season83%needs 53% to break even4 of 10 on the road | Record is this season's | -17.2Not beating its price |
| Under 9.5 receiving yardsTyrone Tracy Jr. · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | -114at FanDuel | 6 of 10· last 10 games60%needs 53% to break even5 of 10 on the road | -17.5Not beating its price |
| Over 33.5 rush + rec yardsTyrone Tracy Jr. · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | -115at BetRivers | 13 of 15· last season87%needs 53% to break even7 of 10 on the road | Record is last season's | -17.9Not beating its price |
| Over 34.5 rush + rec yardsTyrone Tracy Jr. · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | -120at BetMGM | 13 of 15· last season87%needs 55% to break even7 of 10 on the road | Record is last season's | -18.7Not beating its price |
| Over 18.5 receiving yardsTyrone Tracy Jr. · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | +132at BetOnline | 7 of 15· last 15 games47%needs 43% to break even3 of 10 on the road | -19.1Not beating its price |
| Over 39.5 rush + rec yardsTyrone Tracy Jr. · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | +105at Kalshi | 10 of 15· last season67%needs 49% to break even6 of 10 on the road | Record is last season's | -19.3Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price. A yes-or-no bet (a draw, both teams to score, a TD) shows one same-size bar per game, green when it won.
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