This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 53% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 1 of 520%needs 53% to break even | 5%–56% | 33 points shortwon 20%, needs 53% | 15.6rushing and receiving yards |
| Last 10 games | 5 of 1050%needs 53% to break even | 27%–73% | 3 points shortwon 50%, needs 53% | 48.3rushing and receiving yards |
| Last 15 games | 8 of 1553%needs 53% to break even | 33%–72% | evenwon 53%, needs 53% | 59.5rushing and receiving yards |
| This season | 1 of 617%needs 53% to break even | 4%–50% | 36 points shortwon 17%, needs 53% | 15.3rushing and receiving yards |
| Last season | 10 of 1567%needs 53% to break even | 46%–83% | 14 points betterwon 67%, needs 53% | 68.5rushing and receiving yards |
| Every game | 11 of 2152%needs 53% to break even | 35%–69% | 1 points shortwon 52%, needs 53% | 53.3rushing and receiving yards |
Tonight NYG plays on the road, as the underdog, after a loss, against HOU. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 6 of 10 on the road. Tonight: HOU allows 98 rushing and receiving yards a game to running backs, the 4th fewest of 32 defenses (the average defense allows 120.9): a tough matchup for this bet. How HOU defends running backs
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Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Rush + rec yards in each game against over 37.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Rush + rec yards | Beat 37.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Wk 6 | 45 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Wk 5 | 31 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 4 | -1 | -38.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 3 | 3 | -34.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 2 | 0 | -37.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 1 | 14 | -23.5 | Lost | |
| Last season | ||||
| Wk 18 | 159 | +121.5 | Won | |
| Wk 17 | 57 | +19.5 | Won | |
| Wk 16 | 78 | +40.5 | Won | |
| Wk 15 | 97 | +59.5 | Won | |
| Wk 13 | 33 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 12 | 130 | +92.5 | Won | |
| Wk 11 | 139 | +101.5 | Won | |
| Wk 10 | 71 | +33.5 | Won | |
| Wk 9 | 37 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 8 | 53 | +15.5 | Won | |
| Wk 7 | 46 | +8.5 | Won | |
| Wk 6 | 6 | -31.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 3 | 36 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 2 | 51 | +13.5 | Won | |
| Wk 1 | 35 | -2.5 | Lost | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 33.5 rush + rec yardsTyrone Tracy Jr. · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | -115at BetRivers | 5 of 6· this season83%needs 53% to break even3 of 10 on the road | Record is this season's | -21.0Not beating its price | |
| Under 34.5 rush + rec yardsTyrone Tracy Jr. · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | -111at BetMGM | 5 of 6· this season83%needs 53% to break even3 of 10 on the road | Record is this season's | -20.3Not beating its price | |
| Under 37.5 rush + rec yardsTyrone Tracy Jr. · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | -113at DraftKings | 5 of 6· this season83%needs 53% to break even4 of 10 on the road | Record is this season's | -17.2Not beating its price | |
| Under 39.5 rush + rec yardsTyrone Tracy Jr. · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | -137at Kalshi | 5 of 6· this season83%needs 58% to break even4 of 10 on the road | Record is this season's | -21.1Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
This player's other props in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price. A yes-or-no bet (a draw, both teams to score, a TD) shows one same-size bar per game, green when it won.