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NFLPlayer propPass + rush yards
J.J. McCarthy over 229.5 pass + rush yards
Won2 of 5last 5 games · 40%
Best price-114DraftKings
Price needs53.3%wins to break even
Every game3 of 12this season and last
Trend score-30.1Not beating its price
How often it won
This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 53% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 53% to break even | 14%–73% | 13 points shortwon 40%, needs 53% | 170.6passing and rushing yards |
| Last 10 games | 3 of 1030%needs 53% to break even | 13%–56% | 23 points shortwon 30%, needs 53% | 173.3passing and rushing yards |
| Last 15 games | 3 of 1225%needs 53% to break even | 10%–49% | 28 points shortwon 25%, needs 53% | 173.7passing and rushing yards |
| This season | 1 of 250%needs 53% to break even | 12%–88% | 3 points shortwon 50%, needs 53% | 135.5passing and rushing yards |
| Last season | 2 of 1020%needs 53% to break even | 7%–46% | 33 points shortwon 20%, needs 53% | 181.3passing and rushing yards |
| Every game | 3 of 1225%needs 53% to break even | 10%–49% | 28 points shortwon 25%, needs 53% | 173.7passing and rushing yards |
Games like tonight
Tonight NYG plays on the road, as the underdog, after a loss, against HOU. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 1 of 6 on the road. Tonight: HOU allows 272.3 passing and rushing yards a game to quarterbacks, the 9th most of 32 defenses (the average defense allows 253.4): an easy matchup for this bet. How HOU defends quarterbacks
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Every book's price
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J.J. McCarthy over 229.5 pass + rush yards1 book
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every game behind it
Pass + rush yards in each game against over 229.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
Every number on this bet
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The opposite bet
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 224.5 pass + rush yardsJ.J. McCarthy · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET |  -117at BetRivers | 8 of 10· last season80%needs 54% to break even5 of 6 on the road | Record is last season's | -5.7Not beating its price | |
| Under 229.5 pass + rush yardsJ.J. McCarthy · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET |  -112at DraftKings | 8 of 10· last season80%needs 53% to break even5 of 6 on the road | Record is last season's | -4.9Not beating its price | |
| Under 232.5 pass + rush yardsJ.J. McCarthy · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET |  -114at FanDuel | 8 of 10· last season80%needs 53% to break even5 of 6 on the road | Record is last season's | -5.2Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
More on J.J. McCarthy in this game
This player's other props in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price. A yes-or-no bet (a draw, both teams to score, a TD) shows one same-size bar per game, green when it won.