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NFLPlayer propCompletions
C.J. Stroud under 22.5 completions
Won11 of 16last season · 69%
Best price-140BetMGM
Price needs58.3%wins to break even
Every game13 of 22this season and last
Trend score-20.9Not beating its price
How often it won
This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 58% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 58% to break even | 14%–73% | 18 points shortwon 40%, needs 58% | 23.4completions |
| Last 10 games | 6 of 1060%needs 58% to break even | 35%–81% | 2 points betterwon 60%, needs 58% | 21.4completions |
| Last 15 games | 10 of 1567%needs 58% to break even | 46%–83% | 8 points betterwon 67%, needs 58% | 20.1completions |
| This season | 2 of 633%needs 58% to break even | 12%–65% | 25 points shortwon 33%, needs 58% | 23.8completions |
| Last season | 11 of 1669%needs 58% to break even | 48%–84% | 10 points betterwon 69%, needs 58% | 19.6completions |
| Every game | 13 of 2259%needs 58% to break even | 42%–74% | 1 points betterwon 59%, needs 58% | 20.8completions |
Games like tonight
Tonight HOU plays at home, as the favorite, after a win, against NYG. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 6 of 10 at home. Tonight: NYG allows 20.2 completions a game to quarterbacks, the 9th fewest of 32 defenses (the average defense allows 21.5): an easy matchup for this bet. How NYG defends quarterbacks
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Every book's price
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
C.J. Stroud under 22.5 completions1 book
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every game behind it
Completions in each game against under 22.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Completions | Beat 22.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Wk 6 |  JAX | 24 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Wk 5 |  TEN | 26 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Wk 4 |  DAL | 21 | +1.5 | Won |
| Wk 3 |  IND | 16 | +6.5 | Won |
| Wk 2 |  CIN | 30 | -7.5 | Lost |
| Wk 1 |  BUF | 26 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Last season | ||||
| Wk 20 |  NE | 20 | +2.5 | Won |
| Wk 19 |  PIT | 21 | +1.5 | Won |
| Wk 18 | IND | 14 | +8.5 | Won |
| Wk 17 |  LAC | 16 | +6.5 | Won |
| Wk 16 |  LV | 23 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Wk 15 |  ARI | 22 | +0.5 | Won |
| Wk 14 |  KC | 15 | +7.5 | Won |
| Wk 13 | IND | 22 | +0.5 | Won |
| Wk 9 |  DEN | 6 | +16.5 | Won |
| Wk 8 |  SF | 30 | -7.5 | Lost |
| Wk 7 |  SEA | 23 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Wk 5 |  BAL | 23 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Wk 4 | TEN | 22 | +0.5 | Won |
| Wk 3 | JAX | 25 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Wk 2 |  TB | 13 | +9.5 | Won |
| Wk 1 |  LAR | 19 | +3.5 | Won |
Every number on this bet
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The opposite bet
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 21.5 completionsC.J. Stroud · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Montgomery (RB) |  -112at BetRivers | 4 of 6· this season67%needs 53% to break even6 of 10 at home | Record is this season's | -20.1Not beating its price | |
| Over 22.5 completionsC.J. Stroud · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Montgomery (RB) |  +105at BetMGM | 4 of 6· this season67%needs 49% to break even4 of 10 at home | Record is this season's | -21.5Not beating its price | |
| Over 23.5 completionsC.J. Stroud · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Montgomery (RB) | +180at BetRivers | 4 of 6· this season67%needs 36% to break even3 of 10 at home | Record is this season's | -14.0Not beating its price | |
| Over 24.5 completionsC.J. Stroud · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Montgomery (RB) | +175at BetMGM | 3 of 6· this season50%needs 36% to break even3 of 10 at home | Record is this season's | -20.0Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
More on C.J. Stroud in this game
This player's other props in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 1.5 passing TDsC.J. Stroud · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Montgomery (RB) |  +145at Fanatics | 11 of 16· last season69%needs 41% to break even5 of 10 at home | Record is last season's | -3.4Not beating its price | |
| Scores a TDC.J. Stroud · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Montgomery (RB) |  +625at Kalshi | 2 of 10· last 10 games20%needs 14% to break even1 of 10 at home | -7.9Not beating its price | ||
| Over 299.5 passing yardsC.J. Stroud · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Montgomery (RB) | +320at BetRivers | 3 of 5· last 5 games60%needs 24% to break even3 of 10 at home | -8.8Not beating its price | ||
| Under 0.5 interceptions thrownC.J. Stroud · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Montgomery (RB) | -124at BetRivers | 5 of 6· this season83%needs 55% to break even9 of 10 at home | Record is this season's | -12.2Not beating its price | |
| Under 224.5 passing yardsC.J. Stroud · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Montgomery (RB) | +189at Kalshi | 8 of 16· last season50%needs 35% to break even4 of 10 at home | Record is last season's | -15.0Not beating its price | |
| Over 19.5 rushing yardsC.J. Stroud · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Montgomery (RB) |  +280at FanDuel | 6 of 16· last season38%needs 26% to break even3 of 10 at home | Record is last season's | -15.4Not beating its price | |
| Over 289.5 passing yardsC.J. Stroud · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Montgomery (RB) |  +210at DraftKings | 3 of 5· last 5 games60%needs 32% to break even3 of 10 at home | -15.6Not beating its price | ||
| Over 249.5 passing yardsC.J. Stroud · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Montgomery (RB) | -110at BetRivers | 5 of 6· this season83%needs 52% to break even5 of 10 at home | Record is this season's | -15.7Not beating its price | |
| Over 9.5 rushing yardsC.J. Stroud · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Montgomery (RB) | -109at DraftKings | 10 of 16· last season63%needs 52% to break even8 of 10 at home | Record is last season's | -16.0Not beating its price | |
| Under 268.5 pass + rush yardsC.J. Stroud · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Montgomery (RB) | -113at DraftKings | 12 of 16· last season75%needs 53% to break even5 of 10 at home | Record is last season's | -16.3Not beating its price | |
| Over 248.5 passing yardsC.J. Stroud · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Montgomery (RB) | -114at BetRivers | 5 of 6· this season83%needs 53% to break even5 of 10 at home | Record is this season's | -16.4Not beating its price | |
| Over 295.5 passing yardsC.J. Stroud · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Montgomery (RB) |  +200at BetOnline | 3 of 5· last 5 games60%needs 33% to break even3 of 10 at home | -16.5Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price. A yes-or-no bet (a draw, both teams to score, a TD) shows one same-size bar per game, green when it won.