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NFLPlayer propAnytime TD
C.J. Stroud scores a TD
Won2 of 10last 10 games · 20%
Best price+625Kalshi
Price needs13.8%wins to break even
Every game2 of 22this season and last
Trend score-7.9Not beating its price
How often it won
This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 14% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 1 of 520%needs 14% to break even | 5%–56% | 6 points betterwon 20%, needs 14% |
| Last 10 games | 2 of 1020%needs 14% to break even | 7%–46% | 6 points betterwon 20%, needs 14% |
| Last 15 games | 2 of 1513%needs 14% to break even | 5%–33% | evenwon 13%, needs 14% |
| This season | 1 of 617%needs 14% to break even | 4%–50% | 3 points betterwon 17%, needs 14% |
| Last season | 1 of 166%needs 14% to break even | 1%–24% | 8 points shortwon 6%, needs 14% |
| Every game | 2 of 229%needs 14% to break even | 3%–24% | 5 points shortwon 9%, needs 14% |
Games like tonight
Tonight HOU plays at home, as the favorite, after a win, against NYG. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 1 of 10 at home.
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Every book's price
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
C.J. Stroud scores a TD10 books
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every game behind it
Every C.J. Stroud game, newest first: whether Stroud scored a touchdown.
| Date | Opponent | Result | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|
| This season | |||
| Wk 6 |  JAX | No TD | Lost |
| Wk 5 |  TEN | 1 TD | Won |
| Wk 4 |  DAL | No TD | Lost |
| Wk 3 |  IND | No TD | Lost |
| Wk 2 |  CIN | No TD | Lost |
| Wk 1 |  BUF | No TD | Lost |
| Last season | |||
| Wk 20 |  NE | No TD | Lost |
| Wk 19 |  PIT | No TD | Lost |
| Wk 18 | IND | 1 TD | Won |
| Wk 17 |  LAC | No TD | Lost |
| Wk 16 |  LV | No TD | Lost |
| Wk 15 |  ARI | No TD | Lost |
| Wk 14 |  KC | No TD | Lost |
| Wk 13 | IND | No TD | Lost |
| Wk 9 |  DEN | No TD | Lost |
| Wk 8 |  SF | No TD | Lost |
| Wk 7 |  SEA | No TD | Lost |
| Wk 5 |  BAL | No TD | Lost |
| Wk 4 | TEN | No TD | Lost |
| Wk 3 | JAX | No TD | Lost |
| Wk 2 |  TB | No TD | Lost |
| Wk 1 |  LAR | No TD | Lost |
More on C.J. Stroud in this game
This player's other props in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 1.5 passing TDsC.J. Stroud · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Montgomery (RB) |  +145at Fanatics | 11 of 16· last season69%needs 41% to break even5 of 10 at home | Record is last season's | -3.4Not beating its price | |
| Over 299.5 passing yardsC.J. Stroud · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Montgomery (RB) |  +320at BetRivers | 3 of 5· last 5 games60%needs 24% to break even3 of 10 at home | -8.8Not beating its price | ||
| Under 0.5 interceptions thrownC.J. Stroud · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Montgomery (RB) | -124at BetRivers | 5 of 6· this season83%needs 55% to break even9 of 10 at home | Record is this season's | -12.2Not beating its price | |
| Over 23.5 completionsC.J. Stroud · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Montgomery (RB) | +180at BetRivers | 4 of 6· this season67%needs 36% to break even3 of 10 at home | Record is this season's | -14.0Not beating its price | |
| Under 224.5 passing yardsC.J. Stroud · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Montgomery (RB) |  +189at Kalshi | 8 of 16· last season50%needs 35% to break even4 of 10 at home | Record is last season's | -15.0Not beating its price | |
| Over 19.5 rushing yardsC.J. Stroud · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Montgomery (RB) |  +280at FanDuel | 6 of 16· last season38%needs 26% to break even3 of 10 at home | Record is last season's | -15.4Not beating its price | |
| Over 289.5 passing yardsC.J. Stroud · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Montgomery (RB) |  +210at DraftKings | 3 of 5· last 5 games60%needs 32% to break even3 of 10 at home | -15.6Not beating its price | ||
| Over 249.5 passing yardsC.J. Stroud · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Montgomery (RB) | -110at BetRivers | 5 of 6· this season83%needs 52% to break even5 of 10 at home | Record is this season's | -15.7Not beating its price | |
| Over 9.5 rushing yardsC.J. Stroud · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Montgomery (RB) | -109at DraftKings | 10 of 16· last season63%needs 52% to break even8 of 10 at home | Record is last season's | -16.0Not beating its price | |
| Under 268.5 pass + rush yardsC.J. Stroud · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Montgomery (RB) | -113at DraftKings | 12 of 16· last season75%needs 53% to break even5 of 10 at home | Record is last season's | -16.3Not beating its price | |
| Over 248.5 passing yardsC.J. Stroud · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Montgomery (RB) | -114at BetRivers | 5 of 6· this season83%needs 53% to break even5 of 10 at home | Record is this season's | -16.4Not beating its price | |
| Over 295.5 passing yardsC.J. Stroud · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Montgomery (RB) |  +200at BetOnline | 3 of 5· last 5 games60%needs 33% to break even3 of 10 at home | -16.5Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.