This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 58% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 0 of 50%needs 58% to break even | 0%–35% | 58 points shortwon 0%, needs 58% | 16.4pass attempts |
| Last 10 games | 2 of 1020%needs 58% to break even | 7%–46% | 38 points shortwon 20%, needs 58% | 22.3pass attempts |
| Last 15 games | 2 of 1217%needs 58% to break even | 6%–40% | 42 points shortwon 17%, needs 58% | 22pass attempts |
| This season | 0 of 20%needs 58% to break even | 0%–58% | 58 points shortwon 0%, needs 58% | 10.5pass attempts |
| Last season | 2 of 1020% |
Tonight NYG plays on the road, as the underdog, after a loss, against HOU. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 0 of 6 on the road. Tonight: HOU allows 36.3 pass attempts a game to quarterbacks, the 6th most of 32 defenses (the average defense allows 33.7): an easy matchup for this bet. How HOU defends quarterbacks
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Pass attempts in each game against over 31.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
This player's other props in the game.
| 7%–46% |
| 38 points shortwon 20%, needs 58% |
| 24.3pass attempts |
| Every game | 2 of 1217%needs 58% to break even | 6%–40% | 42 points shortwon 17%, needs 58% | 22pass attempts |
| Last season | ||||
| Wk 18 | 23 | -8.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 16 | 14 | -17.5 | Lost |
| Wk 15 | 24 | -7.5 | Lost |
| Wk 14 | 23 | -8.5 | Lost |
| Wk 12 | 19 | -12.5 | Lost |
| Wk 11 | 32 | +0.5 | Won |
| Wk 10 | 42 | +10.5 | Won |
| Wk 9 | 25 | -6.5 | Lost |
| Wk 2 | 21 | -10.5 | Lost |
| Wk 1 | 20 | -11.5 | Lost |
| -108at DraftKings |
| 11 of 12· last 15 games, 3 skipped92%needs 52% to break even6 of 6 on the road |
| 10.2Strong |
| Under 33.5 pass attemptsJ.J. McCarthy · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | -137at Kalshi | 11 of 12· last 15 games, 3 skipped92%needs 58% to break even6 of 6 on the road | 6.0Good |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| +101at Kalshi |
| 11 of 12· last 15 games, 3 skipped92%needs 50% to break even6 of 6 on the road |
| 11.7Strong |
| Under 19.5 completionsJ.J. McCarthy · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | -120at Fanatics | 11 of 12· last 15 games, 3 skipped92%needs 55% to break even6 of 6 on the road | 8.3Strong |
| Under 5.5 rush attemptsJ.J. McCarthy · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | -122at DraftKings | 5 of 5· last 5 games100%needs 55% to break even5 of 6 on the road | 1.9Slight |
| Under 29.5 rushing yardsJ.J. McCarthy · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | -191at Kalshi | 11 of 12· last 15 games, 3 skipped92%needs 66% to break even6 of 6 on the road | 0.5Slight |
| Under 174.5 passing yardsJ.J. McCarthy · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | +181at Kalshi | 7 of 10· last season70%needs 36% to break even5 of 6 on the road | Record is last season's | 0.3Slight |
| Scores a TDJ.J. McCarthy · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | +525at Fanatics | 4 of 10· last season40%needs 16% to break even4 of 6 on the road | Record is last season's | -0.1Not beating its price |
| Under 199.5 passing yardsJ.J. McCarthy · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | +101at Kalshi | 8 of 10· last season80%needs 50% to break even5 of 6 on the road | Record is last season's | -2.7Not beating its price |
| Under 23.5 rushing yardsJ.J. McCarthy · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | -109at DraftKings | 8 of 10· last 10 games80%needs 52% to break even5 of 6 on the road | -4.2Not beating its price |
| Under 229.5 pass + rush yardsJ.J. McCarthy · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | -112at DraftKings | 8 of 10· last season80%needs 53% to break even5 of 6 on the road | Record is last season's | -4.9Not beating its price |
| Under 24.5 rushing yardsJ.J. McCarthy · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | -114at FanDuel | 8 of 10· last 10 games80%needs 53% to break even5 of 6 on the road | -4.9Not beating its price |
| Under 202.5 passing yardsJ.J. McCarthy · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | -113at DraftKings | 8 of 10· last season80%needs 53% to break even5 of 6 on the road | Record is last season's | -5.1Not beating its price |
| Under 203.5 passing yardsJ.J. McCarthy · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | -114at FanDuel | 8 of 10· last season80%needs 53% to break even5 of 6 on the road | Record is last season's | -5.2Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price. A yes-or-no bet (a draw, both teams to score, a TD) shows one same-size bar per game, green when it won.
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