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NFLGame lineTotal
Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Carolina Panthers: under 42.5
Won4 of 5last 5 games · 80%
Best price+129Kalshi
Price needs43.7%wins to break even
Every game11 of 23this season and last
Trend score-8.6Not beating its price
How often it won
This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 44% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 4 of 580%needs 44% to break even | 44%–95% | 36 points betterwon 80%, needs 44% |
| Last 10 games | 6 of 1060%needs 44% to break even | 35%–81% | 16 points betterwon 60%, needs 44% |
| Last 15 games | 8 of 1553%needs 44% to break even | 33%–72% | 10 points betterwon 53%, needs 44% |
| This season | 4 of 667%needs 44% to break even | 35%–88% | 23 points betterwon 67%, needs 44% |
| Last season | 7 of 1741%needs 44% to break even | 24%–61% | 2 points shortwon 41%, needs 44% |
| Every game | 11 of 2348%needs 44% to break even | 32%–64% | 4 points betterwon 48%, needs 44% |
Games like tonight
Tonight TB plays on the road, as the underdog, after a loss, against CAR. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Every book's price
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Carolina Panthers: under 42.52 books
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every game behind it
Total points in each game against under 42.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Total points | Beat 42.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 18 |  PIT | 45 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Oct 8 |  DAL | 40 | +2.5 | Won |
| Oct 4 |  GB | 31 | +11.5 | Won |
| Sep 27 |  MIN | 39 | +3.5 | Won |
| Sep 20 |  CLE | 42 | +0.5 | Won |
| Sep 13 |  CIN | 60 | -17.5 | Lost |
| Last season | ||||
| Jan 3 |  CAR | 30 | +12.5 | Won |
| Dec 28 |  MIA | 37 | +5.5 | Won |
| Dec 21 | CAR | 43 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Dec 11 |  ATL | 57 | -14.5 | Lost |
| Dec 7 |  NO | 44 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Nov 30 |  ARI | 37 | +5.5 | Won |
| Nov 23 |  LAR | 41 | +1.5 | Won |
| Nov 16 |  BUF | 76 | -33.5 | Lost |
| Nov 9 |  NE | 51 | -8.5 | Lost |
| Oct 26 | NO | 26 | +16.5 | Won |
| Oct 20 |  DET | 33 | +9.5 | Won |
| Oct 12 |  SF | 49 | -6.5 | Lost |
| Oct 5 |  SEA | 73 | -30.5 | Lost |
| Sep 28 |  PHI | 56 | -13.5 | Lost |
| Sep 21 |  NYJ | 56 | -13.5 | Lost |
| Sep 15 |  HOU | 39 | +3.5 | Won |
| Sep 7 | ATL | 43 | -0.5 | Lost |
Every number on this bet
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The opposite bet
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
More on Tampa Bay Buccaneers in this game
This team's other lines in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.