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NFLGame lineTeam total
Under 21.5 (team total)
Won10 of 15last 15 games · 67%
Best price-126Kalshi
Price needs55.8%wins to break even
Every game12 of 23this season and last
Trend score-14.1Not beating its price
How often it won
This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 56% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 4 of 580%needs 56% to break even | 44%–95% | 24 points betterwon 80%, needs 56% |
| Last 10 games | 7 of 1070%needs 56% to break even | 44%–87% | 14 points betterwon 70%, needs 56% |
| Last 15 games | 10 of 1567%needs 56% to break even | 46%–83% | 11 points betterwon 67%, needs 56% |
| This season | 4 of 667%needs 56% to break even | 35%–88% | 11 points betterwon 67%, needs 56% |
| Last season | 8 of 1747%needs 56% to break even | 29%–66% | 9 points shortwon 47%, needs 56% |
| Every game | 12 of 2352%needs 56% to break even | 36%–68% | 4 points shortwon 52%, needs 56% |
Games like tonight
Tonight TB plays on the road, as the underdog, after a loss, against CAR. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Every book's price
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Under 21.5 (team total)1 book
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every game behind it
TB points in each game against under 21.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | TB points | Beat 21.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 18 |  PIT | 19 | +2.5 | Won |
| Oct 8 |  DAL | 24 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Oct 4 |  GB | 14 | +7.5 | Won |
| Sep 27 |  MIN | 16 | +5.5 | Won |
| Sep 20 |  CLE | 19 | +2.5 | Won |
| Sep 13 |  CIN | 27 | -5.5 | Lost |
| Last season | ||||
| Jan 3 |  CAR | 16 | +5.5 | Won |
| Dec 28 |  MIA | 17 | +4.5 | Won |
| Dec 21 | CAR | 20 | +1.5 | Won |
| Dec 11 |  ATL | 28 | -6.5 | Lost |
| Dec 7 |  NO | 20 | +1.5 | Won |
| Nov 30 |  ARI | 20 | +1.5 | Won |
| Nov 23 |  LAR | 7 | +14.5 | Won |
| Nov 16 |  BUF | 32 | -10.5 | Lost |
| Nov 9 |  NE | 23 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Oct 26 | NO | 23 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Oct 20 |  DET | 9 | +12.5 | Won |
| Oct 12 |  SF | 30 | -8.5 | Lost |
| Oct 5 |  SEA | 38 | -16.5 | Lost |
| Sep 28 |  PHI | 25 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Sep 21 |  NYJ | 29 | -7.5 | Lost |
| Sep 15 |  HOU | 20 | +1.5 | Won |
| Sep 7 | ATL | 23 | -1.5 | Lost |
Every number on this bet
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The opposite bet
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 17.5 team totalTampa Bay Buccaneers · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET |  -199at Kalshi | 13 of 17· last season76%needs 67% to break even | Record is last season's | -20.7Not beating its price | |
| Over 20.5 team totalTampa Bay Buccaneers · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET |  -114at Polymarket | 9 of 17· last season53%needs 53% to break even | Record is last season's | -29.4Not beating its price | |
| Over 21.5 team totalTampa Bay Buccaneers · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -107at Kalshi | 9 of 17· last season53%needs 52% to break even | Record is last season's | -28.1Not beating its price | |
| Over 24.5 team totalTampa Bay Buccaneers · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +159at Kalshi | 6 of 17· last season35%needs 39% to break even | Record is last season's | -24.6Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
More on Tampa Bay Buccaneers in this game
This team's other lines in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.