This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 62% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 560%needs 62% to break even | 27%–86% | 2 points shortwon 60%, needs 62% | 85.2rushing yards |
| Last 10 games | 3 of 1030%needs 62% to break even | 13%–56% | 32 points shortwon 30%, needs 62% | 55rushing yards |
| Last 15 games | 4 of 1527%needs 62% to break even | 13%–48% | 35 points shortwon 27%, needs 62% | 46.7rushing yards |
| This season | 3 of 560%needs 62% to break even | 27%–86% | 2 points shortwon 60%, needs 62% | 85.2rushing yards |
| Last season | 2 of 1613% |
Tonight CAR plays at home, as the favorite, after a win, against TB. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 3 of 9 at home. Tonight: TB allows 65 rushing yards a game to running backs, the 3rd fewest of 32 defenses (the average defense allows 89.6): a tough matchup for this bet. How TB defends running backs
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Rushing yards in each game against over 59.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Rushing yards | Beat 59.5 by |
|---|
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
This player's other props in the game.
| 4%–32% |
| 49 points shortwon 13%, needs 62% |
| 34.8rushing yards |
| Every game | 5 of 2124%needs 62% to break even | 12%–41% | 38 points shortwon 24%, needs 62% | 46.8rushing yards |
| Bet |
|---|
| This season | ||||
| Wk 6 | 120 | +60.5 | Won | |
| Wk 4 | 122 | +62.5 | Won | |
| Wk 3 | 82 | +22.5 | Won | |
| Wk 2 | 53 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 1 | 49 | -10.5 | Lost | |
| Last season | ||||
| Wk 19 | 46 | -13.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 18 | 10 | -49.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 17 | 12 | -47.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 16 | 27 | -32.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 15 | 29 | -30.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 13 | 83 | +23.5 | Won | |
| Wk 12 | 16 | -43.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 11 | 21 | -38.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 10 | 14 | -45.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 9 | 17 | -42.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 8 | 34 | -25.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 7 | 31 | -28.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 4 | 49 | -10.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 3 | 73 | +13.5 | Won | |
| Wk 2 | 38 | -21.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 1 | 57 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| +129at Kalshi |
| 14 of 16· last season88%needs 44% to break even6 of 9 at home |
| Record is last season's |
| 3.1Good |
| Under 67.5 rushing yardsChuba Hubbard · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | -115at BetRivers | 14 of 16· last season88%needs 53% to break even6 of 9 at home | Record is last season's | -4.3Not beating its price |
| Under 69.5 rushing yardsChuba Hubbard · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | -110at DraftKings | 14 of 16· last season88%needs 52% to break even6 of 9 at home | Record is last season's | -3.4Not beating its price |
| Under 70.5 rushing yardsChuba Hubbard · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | -114at FanDuel | 14 of 16· last season88%needs 53% to break even6 of 9 at home | Record is last season's | -4.2Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| +181at Kalshi |
| 13 of 16· last season81%needs 36% to break even6 of 9 at home |
| Record is last season's |
| 8.3Strong |
| Under 17.5 rush attemptsChuba Hubbard · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | -137at Kalshi | 16 of 16· last season100%needs 58% to break even8 of 9 at home | Record is last season's | -2.1Not beating its price |
| Under 89.5 rush + rec yardsChuba Hubbard · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | -131at Kalshi | 15 of 16· last season94%needs 57% to break even7 of 9 at home | Record is last season's | -5.0Not beating its price |
| Under 14.5 receiving yardsChuba Hubbard · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | -112at Kalshi | 8 of 10· last 10 games80%needs 53% to break even7 of 9 at home | -6.5Not beating its price |
| Under 2.5 receptionsChuba Hubbard · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | -130at BetOnline | 11 of 15· last 15 games73%needs 57% to break even7 of 9 at home | -9.9Not beating its price |
| Under 1.5 receptionsChuba Hubbard · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | +198at Kalshi | 7 of 15· last 15 games47%needs 34% to break even4 of 9 at home | -10.2Not beating its price |
| Doesn't score a TDChuba Hubbard · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | -107at Kalshi | 11 of 16· last season69%needs 52% to break even4 of 9 at home | Record is last season's | -15.5Not beating its price |
| Scores a TDChuba Hubbard · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | -112at Kalshi | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 53% to break even5 of 9 at home | -22.1Not beating its price |
| Over 2.5 receptionsChuba Hubbard · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | +116at DraftKings | 5 of 16· last season31%needs 46% to break even2 of 9 at home | Record is last season's | -26.1Not beating its price |
| Over 17.5 rush attemptsChuba Hubbard · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | +114at Kalshi | 3 of 5· last 5 games60%needs 47% to break even1 of 9 at home | -29.4Not beating its price |
| Over 14.5 receiving yardsChuba Hubbard · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | -107at DraftKings | 6 of 16· last season38%needs 52% to break even2 of 9 at home | Record is last season's | -30.4Not beating its price |
| Over 89.5 rush + rec yardsChuba Hubbard · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | +101at Kalshi | 3 of 5· last 5 games60%needs 50% to break even2 of 9 at home | -30.6Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price. A yes-or-no bet (a draw, both teams to score, a TD) shows one same-size bar per game, green when it won.
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