This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 47% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 47% to break even | 14%–73% | 7 points shortwon 40%, needs 47% |
| Last 10 games | 3 of 1030%needs 47% to break even | 13%–56% | 17 points shortwon 30%, needs 47% |
| Last 15 games | 4 of 1527%needs 47% to break even | 13%–48% | 21 points shortwon 27%, needs 47% |
| This season | 2 of 540%needs 47% to break even | 14%–73% | 7 points shortwon 40%, needs 47% |
| Last season | 5 of 1631%needs 47% to break even | 16%–52% | 16 points shortwon 31%, needs 47% |
| Every game |
Tonight CAR plays at home, as the favorite, after a win, against TB. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Receptions in each game against over 2.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Receptions | Beat 2.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Wk 6 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 4 | ||||
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 1.5 receptionsChuba Hubbard |
This player's other props in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 17.5 rush attemptsChuba Hubbard |
| 19%–51% |
| 14 points shortwon 33%, needs 47% |
| 1 |
| -1.5 |
| Lost |
| Wk 3 | 4 | +1.5 | Won |
| Wk 2 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Wk 1 | 3 | +0.5 | Won |
| Last season | ||||
| Wk 19 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 18 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Wk 17 | 3 | +0.5 | Won |
| Wk 16 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Wk 15 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Wk 13 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Wk 12 | 4 | +1.5 | Won |
| Wk 11 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Wk 10 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Wk 9 | 0 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Wk 8 | 0 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Wk 7 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Wk 4 | 3 | +0.5 | Won |
| Wk 3 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Wk 2 | 5 | +2.5 | Won |
| Wk 1 | 3 | +0.5 | Won |
| +166at Kalshi |
| 7 of 15· last 15 games47%needs 38% to break even |
| -13.4Not beating its price |
| Under 2.5 receptionsChuba Hubbard · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -130at BetOnline | 11 of 15· last 15 games73%needs 57% to break even | -9.9Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| -137at Kalshi |
| 16 of 16· last season100%needs 58% to break even |
| Record is last season's |
| -2.1Not beating its price |
| Under 70.5 rushing yardsChuba Hubbard · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -112at DraftKings | 14 of 16· last season88%needs 53% to break even | Record is last season's | -3.8Not beating its price |
| Under 69.5 rushing yardsChuba Hubbard · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -115at BetRivers | 14 of 16· last season88%needs 53% to break even | Record is last season's | -4.3Not beating its price |
| Under 14.5 receiving yardsChuba Hubbard · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -114at DraftKings | 8 of 10· last 10 games80%needs 53% to break even | -6.8Not beating its price |
| Under 13.5 receiving yardsChuba Hubbard · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -122at BetRivers | 8 of 10· last 10 games80%needs 55% to break even | -8.2Not beating its price |
| Doesn't score a TDChuba Hubbard · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -107at Kalshi | 11 of 16· last season69%needs 52% to break even | Record is last season's | -15.5Not beating its price |
| Scores a TDChuba Hubbard · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -116at Kalshi | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 54% to break even | -22.8Not beating its price |
| Over 14.5 receiving yardsChuba Hubbard · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -107at Kalshi | 6 of 16· last season38%needs 52% to break even | Record is last season's | -30.4Not beating its price |
| Over 13.5 receiving yardsChuba Hubbard · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -109at BetRivers | 6 of 16· last season38%needs 52% to break even | Record is last season's | -30.8Not beating its price |
| Over 69.5 rushing yardsChuba Hubbard · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -107at Kalshi | 3 of 5· last 5 games60%needs 52% to break even | -31.5Not beating its price |
| Over 70.5 rushing yardsChuba Hubbard · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -112at DraftKings | 3 of 5· last 5 games60%needs 53% to break even | -32.4Not beating its price |
| Over 17.5 rush attemptsChuba Hubbard · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -103at Kalshi | 3 of 5· last 5 games60%needs 51% to break even | -32.6Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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