This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 36% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 36% to break even | 14%–73% | 4 points betterwon 40%, needs 36% | 17.8rush attempts |
| Last 10 games | 7 of 1070%needs 36% to break even | 44%–87% | 34 points betterwon 70%, needs 36% | 12.5rush attempts |
| Last 15 games | 11 of 1573%needs 36% to break even | 52%–87% | 38 points betterwon 73%, needs 36% | 10.5rush attempts |
| This season | 2 of 540%needs 36% to break even | 14%–73% | 4 points betterwon 40%, needs 36% | 17.8rush attempts |
| Last season |
Tonight CAR plays at home, as the favorite, after a win, against TB. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 6 of 9 at home. Tonight: TB allows 18.3 rush attempts a game to running backs, the 3rd fewest of 32 defenses (the average defense allows 21.9): an easy matchup for this bet. How TB defends running backs
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Rush attempts in each game against under 14.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Rush attempts | Beat 14.5 by | Bet |
|---|
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
This player's other props in the game.
| 13 of 1681%needs 36% to break even |
| 61%–92% |
| 46 points betterwon 81%, needs 36% |
| 9.2rush attempts |
| Every game | 15 of 2171%needs 36% to break even | 54%–84% | 36 points betterwon 71%, needs 36% | 11.2rush attempts |
| This season | ||||
| Wk 6 | 28 | -13.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 4 | 20 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 3 | 19 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 2 | 12 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Wk 1 | 10 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Last season | ||||
| Wk 19 | 13 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Wk 18 | 5 | +9.5 | Won | |
| Wk 17 | 4 | +10.5 | Won | |
| Wk 16 | 6 | +8.5 | Won | |
| Wk 15 | 8 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Wk 13 | 17 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 12 | 3 | +11.5 | Won | |
| Wk 11 | 4 | +10.5 | Won | |
| Wk 10 | 3 | +11.5 | Won | |
| Wk 9 | 5 | +9.5 | Won | |
| Wk 8 | 12 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Wk 7 | 14 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Wk 4 | 10 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Wk 3 | 17 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 2 | 10 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Wk 1 | 16 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| +114at Kalshi |
| 3 of 5· last 5 games60%needs 47% to break even1 of 9 at home |
| -29.4Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| +129at Kalshi |
| 14 of 16· last season88%needs 44% to break even6 of 9 at home |
| Record is last season's |
| 3.1Good |
| Under 69.5 rushing yardsChuba Hubbard · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | -110at DraftKings | 14 of 16· last season88%needs 52% to break even6 of 9 at home | Record is last season's | -3.4Not beating its price |
| Under 70.5 rushing yardsChuba Hubbard · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | -114at FanDuel | 14 of 16· last season88%needs 53% to break even6 of 9 at home | Record is last season's | -4.2Not beating its price |
| Under 67.5 rushing yardsChuba Hubbard · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | -115at BetRivers | 14 of 16· last season88%needs 53% to break even6 of 9 at home | Record is last season's | -4.3Not beating its price |
| Under 89.5 rush + rec yardsChuba Hubbard · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | -131at Kalshi | 15 of 16· last season94%needs 57% to break even7 of 9 at home | Record is last season's | -5.0Not beating its price |
| Under 14.5 receiving yardsChuba Hubbard · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | -112at Kalshi | 8 of 10· last 10 games80%needs 53% to break even7 of 9 at home | -6.5Not beating its price |
| Under 2.5 receptionsChuba Hubbard · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | -130at BetOnline | 11 of 15· last 15 games73%needs 57% to break even7 of 9 at home | -9.9Not beating its price |
| Under 1.5 receptionsChuba Hubbard · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | +198at Kalshi | 7 of 15· last 15 games47%needs 34% to break even4 of 9 at home | -10.2Not beating its price |
| Doesn't score a TDChuba Hubbard · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | -107at Kalshi | 11 of 16· last season69%needs 52% to break even4 of 9 at home | Record is last season's | -15.5Not beating its price |
| Scores a TDChuba Hubbard · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | -112at Kalshi | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 53% to break even5 of 9 at home | -22.1Not beating its price |
| Over 79.5 rushing yardsChuba Hubbard · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | +152at Kalshi | 3 of 5· last 5 games60%needs 40% to break even2 of 9 at home | -22.5Not beating its price |
| Over 2.5 receptionsChuba Hubbard · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | +116at DraftKings | 5 of 16· last season31%needs 46% to break even2 of 9 at home | Record is last season's | -26.1Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price. A yes-or-no bet (a draw, both teams to score, a TD) shows one same-size bar per game, green when it won.
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