This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 56% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 560%needs 56% to break even | 27%–86% | 4 points betterwon 60%, needs 56% | 86.6rushing and receiving yards |
| Last 10 games | 6 of 1060%needs 56% to break even | 35%–81% | 4 points betterwon 60%, needs 56% | 79.9rushing and receiving yards |
| Last 15 games | 8 of 1553%needs 56% to break even | 33%–72% | 2 points shortwon 53%, needs 56% | 89.7rushing and receiving yards |
| This season | 3 of 650%needs 56% to break even | 22%–78% | 6 points shortwon 50%, needs 56% | 87.7rushing and receiving yards |
| Last season |
Tonight TB plays on the road, as the underdog, after a loss, against CAR. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 3 of 6 on the road. Tonight: CAR allows 136.8 rushing and receiving yards a game to running backs, the 6th most of 32 defenses (the average defense allows 120.9): a tough matchup for this bet. How CAR defends running backs
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Rush + rec yards in each game against under 89.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Rush + rec yards | Beat 89.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Wk 6 | 49 | +40.5 | Won | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
This player's other props in the game.
| 35%–81% |
| 4 points betterwon 60%, needs 56% |
| 86.5rushing and receiving yards |
| Every game | 9 of 1656%needs 56% to break even | 36%–74% | evenwon 56%, needs 56% | 86.9rushing and receiving yards |
| Wk 5 |
| 175 |
| -85.5 |
| Lost |
| Wk 4 | 61 | +28.5 | Won |
| Wk 3 | 58 | +31.5 | Won |
| Wk 2 | 90 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Wk 1 | 93 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Last season | ||||
| Wk 18 | 98 | -8.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 17 | 33 | +56.5 | Won |
| Wk 16 | 71 | +18.5 | Won |
| Wk 15 | 71 | +18.5 | Won |
| Wk 14 | 81 | +8.5 | Won |
| Wk 13 | 81 | +8.5 | Won |
| Wk 4 | 165 | -75.5 | Lost |
| Wk 3 | 99 | -9.5 | Lost |
| Wk 2 | 121 | -31.5 | Lost |
| Wk 1 | 45 | +44.5 | Won |
| -159at DraftKings |
| 9 of 15· last 15 games60%needs 61% to break even3 of 6 on the road |
| -26.1Not beating its price |
| Over 85.5 rush + rec yardsBucky Irving · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Egbuka (WR) | -115at BetMGM | 7 of 15· last 15 games47%needs 53% to break even3 of 6 on the road | -24.9Not beating its price |
| Over 86.5 rush + rec yardsBucky Irving · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Egbuka (WR) | -115at DraftKings | 7 of 15· last 15 games47%needs 53% to break even3 of 6 on the road | -24.9Not beating its price |
| Over 87.5 rush + rec yardsBucky Irving · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Egbuka (WR) | -114at FanDuel | 7 of 15· last 15 games47%needs 53% to break even3 of 6 on the road | -24.7Not beating its price |
| Over 89.5 rush + rec yardsBucky Irving · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Egbuka (WR) | -101at DraftKings | 7 of 15· last 15 games47%needs 50% to break even3 of 6 on the road | -22.4Not beating its price |
| Over 99.5 rush + rec yardsBucky Irving · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Egbuka (WR) | +155at BetRivers | 3 of 15· last 15 games20%needs 39% to break even2 of 6 on the road | -25.9Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| -147at BetOnline |
| 13 of 15· last 15 games87%needs 60% to break even3 of 6 on the road |
| -1.7Not beating its price |
| Under 14.5 receiving yardsBucky Irving · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Egbuka (WR) | +101at Kalshi | 9 of 10· last 10 games90%needs 50% to break even4 of 6 on the road | -1.9Not beating its price |
| Under 2.5 receptionsBucky Irving · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Egbuka (WR) | +140at FanDuel | 7 of 10· last 10 games70%needs 42% to break even2 of 6 on the road | -3.6Not beating its price |
| Under 16.5 receiving yardsBucky Irving · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Egbuka (WR) | -112at BetOnline | 9 of 10· last 10 games90%needs 53% to break even4 of 6 on the road | -4.2Not beating its price |
| Under 15.5 receiving yardsBucky Irving · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Egbuka (WR) | -114at FanDuel | 9 of 10· last 10 games90%needs 53% to break even4 of 6 on the road | -4.5Not beating its price |
| Under 17.5 receiving yardsBucky Irving · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Egbuka (WR) | -116at DraftKings | 9 of 10· last 10 games90%needs 54% to break even4 of 6 on the road | -4.9Not beating its price |
| Over 15.5 rush attemptsBucky Irving · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Egbuka (WR) | -103at BetOnline | 10 of 15· last 15 games67%needs 51% to break even3 of 6 on the road | -8.0Not beating its price |
| Under 19.5 receiving yardsBucky Irving · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Egbuka (WR) | -161at Kalshi | 9 of 10· last 10 games90%needs 62% to break even4 of 6 on the road | -11.0Not beating its price |
| Under 64.5 rushing yardsBucky Irving · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Egbuka (WR) | +101at BetOnline | 9 of 15· last 15 games60%needs 50% to break even3 of 6 on the road | -11.5Not beating its price |
| Under 66.5 rushing yardsBucky Irving · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Egbuka (WR) | -114at FanDuel | 10 of 15· last 15 games67%needs 53% to break even3 of 6 on the road | -11.5Not beating its price |
| Doesn't score a TDBucky Irving · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Egbuka (WR) | -142at Kalshi | 8 of 10· last 10 games80%needs 59% to break even3 of 6 on the road | -12.6Not beating its price |
| Under 65.5 rushing yardsBucky Irving · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Egbuka (WR) | -105at Fanatics | 9 of 15· last 15 games60%needs 51% to break even3 of 6 on the road | -12.6Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price. A yes-or-no bet (a draw, both teams to score, a TD) shows one same-size bar per game, green when it won.
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