This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 53% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 1 of 520%needs 53% to break even | 5%–56% | 33 points shortwon 20%, needs 53% | 35.2receiving yards |
| Last 10 games | 2 of 1020%needs 53% to break even | 7%–46% | 33 points shortwon 20%, needs 53% | 38.2receiving yards |
| Last 15 games | 4 of 1527%needs 53% to break even | 13%–48% | 27 points shortwon 27%, needs 53% | 38.4receiving yards |
| This season | 1 of 617%needs 53% to break even | 4%–50% | 37 points shortwon 17%, needs 53% | 36receiving yards |
| Last season | 3 of 933%needs 53% to break even | 14%–60% | 20 points shortwon 33%, needs 53% | 40receiving yards |
| Every game | 4 of 1527%needs 53% to break even | 13%–48% | 27 points shortwon 27%, needs 53% | 38.4receiving yards |
Tonight TB plays on the road, as the underdog, after a loss, against CAR. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 1 of 6 on the road. Tonight: CAR allows 147.6 receiving yards a game to wide receivers, the 15th fewest of 32 defenses (the average defense allows 150.3). How CAR defends wide receivers
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Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Receiving yards in each game against over 44.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Receiving yards | Beat 44.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Wk 6 | 37 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 5 | 37 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 4 | 31 | -13.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 3 | 25 | -19.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 2 | 46 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Wk 1 | 40 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Last season | ||||
| Wk 18 | 8 | -36.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 17 | 108 | +63.5 | Won | |
| Wk 16 | 30 | -14.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 15 | 20 | -24.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 14 | 55 | +10.5 | Won | |
| Wk 13 | 78 | +33.5 | Won | |
| Wk 12 | 9 | -35.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 5 | 26 | -18.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 4 | 26 | -18.5 | Lost | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 44.5 receiving yardsChris Godwin · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Egbuka (WR) | -108at BetOnline | 8 of 10· last 10 games80%needs 52% to break even5 of 6 on the road | -3.2Not beating its price | ||
| Under 46.5 receiving yardsChris Godwin · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Egbuka (WR) | -113at DraftKings | 6 of 6· this season100%needs 53% to break even5 of 6 on the road | Record is this season's | 4.0Good | |
| Under 47.5 receiving yardsChris Godwin · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Egbuka (WR) | -117at BetRivers | 6 of 6· this season100%needs 54% to break even5 of 6 on the road | Record is this season's | 3.3Good |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
This player's other props in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 4.5 receptionsChris Godwin · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Egbuka (WR) | +100at DraftKings | 11 of 15· last 15 games73%needs 50% to break even4 of 6 on the road | -3.2Not beating its price | ||
| Scores a TDChris Godwin · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Egbuka (WR) | +271at Polymarket | 2 of 9· last season22%needs 27% to break even1 of 6 on the road | Record is last season's | -17.1Not beating its price | |
| Over 5.5 receptionsChris Godwin · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Egbuka (WR) | +188at FanDuel | 2 of 10· last 10 games20%needs 35% to break even1 of 6 on the road | -22.8Not beating its price | ||
| Over 4.5 receptionsChris Godwin · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETWithout Egbuka (WR) | -106at FanDuel | 3 of 9· last season33%needs 51% to break even2 of 6 on the road | Record is last season's | -31.1Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price. A yes-or-no bet (a draw, both teams to score, a TD) shows one same-size bar per game, green when it won.