This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 34% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 34% to break even | 14%–73% | 6 points betterwon 40%, needs 34% | 314.8passing and rushing yards |
| Last 10 games | 2 of 1020%needs 34% to break even | 7%–46% | 14 points shortwon 20%, needs 34% | 263.1passing and rushing yards |
| Last 15 games | 3 of 1520%needs 34% to break even | 8%–41% | 14 points shortwon 20%, needs 34% | 248.8passing and rushing yards |
| This season | 2 of 540%needs 34% to break even | 14%–73% | 6 points betterwon 40%, needs 34% | 314.8passing and rushing yards |
| Last season | 2 of 1712%needs 34% to break even | 4%–30% | 22 points shortwon 12%, needs 34% | 206.8passing and rushing yards |
| Every game | 4 of 2218%needs 34% to break even | 8%–35% | 15 points shortwon 18%, needs 34% | 231.3passing and rushing yards |
Tonight CAR plays at home, as the favorite, after a win, against TB. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 2 of 10 at home. Tonight: TB allows 246 passing and rushing yards a game to quarterbacks, the 14th fewest of 32 defenses (the average defense allows 253.4). How TB defends quarterbacks
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Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Pass + rush yards in each game against over 299.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Pass + rush yards | Beat 299.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Wk 6 | 287 | -12.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 4 | 332 | +32.5 | Won | |
| Wk 3 | 291 | -8.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 2 | 293 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 1 | 371 | +71.5 | Won | |
| Last season | ||||
| Wk 19 | 288 | -11.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 18 | 265 | -34.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 17 | 81 | -218.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 16 | 211 | -88.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 15 | 212 | -87.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 13 | 229 | -70.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 12 | 184 | -115.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 11 | 447 | +147.5 | Won | |
| Wk 10 | 130 | -169.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 9 | 111 | -188.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 7 | 148 | -151.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 6 | 204 | -95.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 5 | 199 | -100.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 4 | 153 | -146.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 3 | 129 | -170.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 2 | 330 | +30.5 | Won | |
| Wk 1 | 194 | -105.5 | Lost | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 266.5 pass + rush yardsBryce Young · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | -114at FanDuel | 14 of 17· last season82%needs 53% to break even7 of 10 at home | Record is last season's | -16.6Not beating its price | |
| Under 267.5 pass + rush yardsBryce Young · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | -114at DraftKings | 14 of 17· last season82%needs 53% to break even7 of 10 at home | Record is last season's | -16.6Not beating its price | |
| Under 268.5 pass + rush yardsBryce Young · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | -115at BetMGM | 14 of 17· last season82%needs 53% to break even7 of 10 at home | Record is last season's | -16.8Not beating its price | |
| Under 269.5 pass + rush yardsBryce Young · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | -115at BetRivers | 14 of 17· last season82%needs 53% to break even7 of 10 at home | Record is last season's | -16.8Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
This player's other props in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price. A yes-or-no bet (a draw, both teams to score, a TD) shows one same-size bar per game, green when it won.