This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 77% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 560%needs 77% to break even | 27%–86% | 17 points shortwon 60%, needs 77% | won by 13.2points |
| Last 10 games | 7 of 1070%needs 77% to break even | 44%–87% | 7 points shortwon 70%, needs 77% | won by 14.5points |
| Last 15 games | 10 of 1567%needs 77% to break even | 46%–83% | 11 points shortwon 67%, needs 77% | won by 15.5points |
| This season | 5 of 771%needs 77% to break even | 41%–90% | 6 points shortwon 71%, needs 77% | won by 11.4points |
| Last season | 9 of 1369% |
Tonight USF plays at home, as the favorite, after a win, against UAB. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 9 of 10 at home.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Margin in each game against USF to win, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Margin | Beat 0 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 17 | ||||
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
| 46%–85% |
| 8 points shortwon 69%, needs 77% |
| won by 17.1points |
| Every game | 14 of 2070%needs 77% to break even | 52%–84% | 7 points shortwon 70%, needs 77% | won by 15.1points |
| 27 |
| +27 |
| Won |
| Oct 8 | -7 | -7 | Lost |
| Oct 3 | -4 | -4 | Lost |
| Sep 26 | 8 | +8 | Won |
| Sep 19 | 42 | +42 | Won |
| Sep 12 | 4 | +4 | Won |
| Sep 5 | 10 | +10 | Won |
| Last season | ||||
| Dec 17 | -14 | -14 | Lost | |
| Nov 29 | 49 | +49 | Won |
| Nov 22 | 30 | +30 | Won |
| Nov 15 | -3 | -3 | Lost |
| Nov 6 | 32 | +32 | Won |
| Oct 25 | -3 | -3 | Lost |
| Oct 18 | 35 | +35 | Won |
| Oct 10 | 27 | +27 | Won |
| Oct 3 | 28 | +28 | Won |
| Sep 20 | 49 | +49 | Won |
| Sep 13 | -37 | -37 | Lost |
| Sep 6 | 2 | +2 | Won |
| Aug 28 | 27 | +27 | Won |
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