Not listed on Polymarket.
+8.5 spread: that team can lose by up to 8 and the bet still winsO 47.5 total: wins if the two teams score 48 or more combined−110 bet $110 to win $100+150 bet $100 to win $150The badge is the book with that price (tap a price to see every book's); green pays more than the bet's chances call forBet types explained →
Outlined is the best price on each side; green pays more than the chances call for, and a small negative edge is normal. Tap a price to bet it. What the numbers mean
| Book | Moneyline | |
|---|---|---|
| UAB | USF | |
| Chance it wins | 23.7%fair odds +322 | 76.3%fair odds -322 |
| Edge at the best price | -9.9%Poor price | -2.5%Normal |
| Kalshi | +280 | -360 |
Vig at the best pricesto win 4.4%Cheapest books →
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On Polymarket and Kalshi a contract pays $1 if it comes true, so its price is the crowd's chance. Charts follow the home team.
Not listed on Polymarket.
Big single bets on Polymarket and Kalshi, and how much money is on this game. What bettors did, not a reason to follow them.
"To win" chances average the sportsbooks (with their cut taken out), Polymarket and Kalshi. How it works
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Bets in this game that have kept winning, more often than their price needs. A trend counts every recent game, whoever the opponent, and some are luck.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UAB to win moneylineUAB | +280at Kalshi | 4 of 7· this season57%needs 26% to break even1 of 9 on the road | Record is this season's | ||
| USF to win moneylineSouth Florida | -340at Kalshi | 9 of 13· last season69%needs 77% to break even9 of 10 at home |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| -28.4Not beating its price |
Who's hurt, rest, the weather, form and how the two teams match up. Injuries can change up to game time.
No one on the injury report.
No one on the injury report.
| This season | UAB offense | USF defense |
|---|---|---|
| Points a game | 23.334th fewest | 15.1 allowed13th fewest |
| Passing yards a game | 171.016th fewest | 181.0 allowed29th fewest |
| Rushing yards a game | 168.054th most | 144.1 allowed63rd most |
| Turnovers a game | 1.7 lost33rd most | 1.0 forced21st fewest |
| This season | USF offense | UAB defense |
|---|---|---|
| Points a game | 26.653rd fewest | 24.6 allowed63rd most |
| Passing yards a game | 183.924th fewest | 126.0 allowedthe fewest |
| Rushing yards a game | 141.9 |
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USF | 7 | 10 | 17 | 14 | 48 |
| UAB | 10 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 18 |
| 190.6 allowed18th most |
| Turnovers a game | 0.7 lost17th fewest | 1.4 forced53rd most |
|---|
Ranks out of 138 teams this season. Green: among the league's best third at it. Red: among its worst third.
| This season | UAB | USF |
|---|---|---|
| Yards a game | 339.026th fewest | 325.719th fewest |
| Yards allowed a game | 316.632nd fewest | 325.136th fewest |
| Third downs converted | 42%56th highest | 40%67th lowest |
| Plays a game | 67.060th most | 59.413th fewest |
| Passes as a share of plays | 37%14th lowest | 44%50th lowest |
| Turnover margin this season | -239th lowest | +251st highest |
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