This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 56% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 1 of 520%needs 56% to break even | 5%–56% | 36 points shortwon 20%, needs 56% |
| Last 10 games | 4 of 1040%needs 56% to break even | 19%–65% | 16 points shortwon 40%, needs 56% |
| Last 15 games | 7 of 1547%needs 56% to break even | 28%–67% | 9 points shortwon 47%, needs 56% |
| This season | 2 of 729%needs 56% to break even | 10%–59% | 27 points shortwon 29%, needs 56% |
| Last season | 8 of 1362%needs 56% to break even | 39%–80% | 6 points betterwon 62%, needs 56% |
| Every game | 10 of 2050%needs 56% to break even | 33%–67% | 6 points shortwon 50%, needs 56% |
Tonight UL plays on the road, as the underdog, after a win, against TROY. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Total points in each game against over 49.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Total points | Beat 49.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 17 | 39 | -10.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 10 | ||||
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 45.5 game total, UL gamesLouisiana-Monroe · Sat, Oct 24, 4:00 PM ET |
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UL to win moneylineLouisiana-Monroe · Sat, Oct 24, 4:00 PM ET |
| 63 |
| +13.5 |
| Won |
| Oct 3 | 43 | -6.5 | Lost |
| Sep 26 | 41 | -8.5 | Lost |
| Sep 19 | 35 | -14.5 | Lost |
| Sep 12 | 79 | +29.5 | Won |
| Sep 5 | 45 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Last season | ||||
| Dec 17 | 33 | -16.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 29 | 57 | +7.5 | Won |
| Nov 20 | 64 | +14.5 | Won |
| Nov 8 | 81 | +31.5 | Won |
| Nov 1 | 53 | +3.5 | Won |
| Oct 25 | 58 | +8.5 | Won |
| Oct 18 | 32 | -17.5 | Lost |
| Oct 11 | 38 | -11.5 | Lost |
| Sep 27 | 105 | +55.5 | Won |
| Sep 20 | 65 | +15.5 | Won |
| Sep 13 | 62 | +12.5 | Won |
| Sep 6 | 44 | -5.5 | Lost |
| Aug 30 | 26 | -23.5 | Lost |
| 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 41% to break even |
| -5.8Not beating its price |
| Under 48.5 game total, UL gamesLouisiana-Monroe · Sat, Oct 24, 4:00 PM ET | +114at Kalshi | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 47% to break even | -10.6Not beating its price |
| Under 49.5 game total, UL gamesLouisiana-Monroe · Sat, Oct 24, 4:00 PM ET | +101at Kalshi | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 50% to break even | -13.1Not beating its price |
| Under 50.5 game total, UL gamesLouisiana-Monroe · Sat, Oct 24, 4:00 PM ET | -112at Kalshi | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 53% to break even | -15.5Not beating its price |
| Under 51.5 game total, UL gamesLouisiana-Monroe · Sat, Oct 24, 4:00 PM ET | -126at Kalshi | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 56% to break even | -17.9Not beating its price |
| Under 52.5 game total, UL gamesLouisiana-Monroe · Sat, Oct 24, 4:00 PM ET | -142at Kalshi | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 59% to break even | -20.2Not beating its price |
| Under 53.5 game total, UL gamesLouisiana-Monroe · Sat, Oct 24, 4:00 PM ET | -154at Kalshi | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 61% to break even | -19.6Not beating its price |
| Under 54.5 game total, UL gamesLouisiana-Monroe · Sat, Oct 24, 4:00 PM ET | -175at Kalshi | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 64% to break even | -22.0Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| 7 of 10· last 10 games70%needs 17% to break even |
| 16.8Very strong |
| UL +7.5 spreadLouisiana-Monroe · Sat, Oct 24, 4:00 PM ET | +166at Kalshi | 9 of 10· last 10 games90%needs 38% to break even | 14.5Strong |
| Over 20.5 team totalLouisiana-Monroe · Sat, Oct 24, 4:00 PM ET | +134at Kalshi | 7 of 7· this season100%needs 43% to break even | Record is this season's | 12.9Strong |
| UL +13.5 spreadLouisiana-Monroe · Sat, Oct 24, 4:00 PM ET | -107at Kalshi | 14 of 15· last 15 games93%needs 52% to break even | 12.0Strong |
| UL +9.5 spreadLouisiana-Monroe · Sat, Oct 24, 4:00 PM ET | +134at Kalshi | 9 of 10· last 10 games90%needs 43% to break even | 10.4Strong |
| UL +6.5 1st half spreadLouisiana-Monroe · Sat, Oct 24, 4:00 PM ET | +119at Kalshi | 13 of 15· last 15 games87%needs 46% to break even | 10.2Strong |
| UL +10.5 spreadLouisiana-Monroe · Sat, Oct 24, 4:00 PM ET | +114at Kalshi | 9 of 10· last 10 games90%needs 47% to break even | 9.9Strong |
| Over 19.5 team totalLouisiana-Monroe · Sat, Oct 24, 4:00 PM ET | +114at Kalshi | 7 of 7· this season100%needs 47% to break even | Record is this season's | 9.7Strong |
| UL +3.5 1st half spreadLouisiana-Monroe · Sat, Oct 24, 4:00 PM ET | +159at Kalshi | 5 of 5· last 5 games100%needs 39% to break even | 9.1Strong |
| UL +4.5 1st half spreadLouisiana-Monroe · Sat, Oct 24, 4:00 PM ET | +129at Kalshi | 5 of 5· last 5 games100%needs 44% to break even | 9.0Strong |
| UL +11.5 spreadLouisiana-Monroe · Sat, Oct 24, 4:00 PM ET | +109at Kalshi | 9 of 10· last 10 games90%needs 48% to break even | 9.0Strong |
| UL +8.5 1st half spreadLouisiana-Monroe · Sat, Oct 24, 4:00 PM ET | -126at Kalshi | 14 of 15· last 15 games93%needs 56% to break even | 8.7Strong |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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