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Won2 of 14last season · 14%
Best price+181Kalshi
Price needs35.6%wins to break even
Every game3 of 20this season and last
Trend score-25.3Not beating its price
How often it won
This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 36% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 1 of 520%needs 36% to break even | 5%–56% | 16 points shortwon 20%, needs 36% |
| Last 10 games | 1 of 1010%needs 36% to break even | 2%–35% | 26 points shortwon 10%, needs 36% |
| Last 15 games | 2 of 1513%needs 36% to break even | 5%–33% | 22 points shortwon 13%, needs 36% |
| This season | 1 of 617%needs 36% to break even | 4%–50% | 19 points shortwon 17%, needs 36% |
| Last season | 2 of 1414%needs 36% to break even | 5%–35% | 21 points shortwon 14%, needs 36% |
| Every game | 3 of 2015%needs 36% to break even | 6%–32% | 21 points shortwon 15%, needs 36% |
Games like tonight
Tonight TROY plays at home, as the favorite, after a loss, against UL. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Every book's price
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Over 37.5 (team total)1 book
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every game behind it
TROY points in each game against over 37.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | TROY points | Beat 37.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 17 |  UL | 6 | -31.5 | Lost |
| Oct 6 |  USM | 55 | +17.5 | Won |
| Sep 26 |  USU | 10 | -27.5 | Lost |
| Sep 19 |  MIZ | 17 | -20.5 | Lost |
| Sep 12 |  ALST | 34 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Sep 5 |  SHSU | 24 | -13.5 | Lost |
| Last season | ||||
| Dec 16 | JVST | 13 | -24.5 | Lost |
| Dec 5 |  JMU | 14 | -23.5 | Lost |
| Nov 29 | USM | 28 | -9.5 | Lost |
| Nov 22 |  GAST | 31 | -6.5 | Lost |
| Nov 13 |  ODU | 0 | -37.5 | Lost |
| Nov 1 |  ARST | 10 | -27.5 | Lost |
| Oct 25 | UL | 35 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Oct 18 |  ULM | 37 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Oct 11 |  TXST | 48 | +10.5 | Won |
| Oct 4 |  USA | 31 | -6.5 | Lost |
| Sep 20 |  BUF | 21 | -16.5 | Lost |
| Sep 13 |  MEM | 7 | -30.5 | Lost |
| Sep 6 |  CLEM | 16 | -21.5 | Lost |
| Aug 30 |  NICH | 38 | +0.5 | Won |
Every number on this bet
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The opposite bet
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 27.5 team totalTroy · Sat, Oct 24, 4:00 PM ET |  +173at Kalshi | 6 of 10· last 10 games60%needs 37% to break even | -3.6Not beating its price | ||
| Under 30.5 team totalTroy · Sat, Oct 24, 4:00 PM ET | +114at Kalshi | 7 of 10· last 10 games70%needs 47% to break even | -8.0Not beating its price | ||
| Under 34.5 team totalTroy · Sat, Oct 24, 4:00 PM ET | -161at Kalshi | 9 of 10· last 10 games90%needs 62% to break even | -7.5Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
More on Troy in this game
This team's other lines in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.