This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 37% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 560%needs 37% to break even | 27%–86% | 23 points betterwon 60%, needs 37% |
| Last 10 games | 6 of 1060%needs 37% to break even | 35%–81% | 23 points betterwon 60%, needs 37% |
| Last 15 games | 8 of 1553%needs 37% to break even | 33%–72% | 17 points betterwon 53%, needs 37% |
| This season | 4 of 667%needs 37% to break even | 35%–88% | 30 points betterwon 67%, needs 37% |
| Last season | 7 of 1450%needs 37% to break even | 30%–70% | 13 points betterwon 50%, needs 37% |
| Every game | 11 of 2055%needs 37% to break even | 37%–72% | 18 points betterwon 55%, needs 37% |
Tonight TROY plays at home, as the favorite, after a loss, against UL. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
TROY points in each game against under 27.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | TROY points | Beat 27.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 17 | 6 | +21.5 | Won | |
| Oct 6 | ||||
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 30.5 team totalTroy · Tomorrow 4:00 PM ET |
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 51.5 game total, TROY gamesTroy · Tomorrow 4:00 PM ET |
| 55 |
| -27.5 |
| Lost |
| Sep 26 | 10 | +17.5 | Won |
| Sep 19 | 17 | +10.5 | Won |
| Sep 12 | 34 | -6.5 | Lost |
| Sep 5 | 24 | +3.5 | Won |
| Last season | ||||
| Dec 16 | JVST | 13 | +14.5 | Won |
| Dec 5 | 14 | +13.5 | Won |
| Nov 29 | 28 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Nov 22 | 31 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Nov 13 | 0 | +27.5 | Won |
| Nov 1 | 10 | +17.5 | Won |
| Oct 25 | 35 | -7.5 | Lost |
| Oct 18 | 37 | -9.5 | Lost |
| Oct 11 | 48 | -20.5 | Lost |
| Oct 4 | 31 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Sep 20 | 21 | +6.5 | Won |
| Sep 13 | 7 | +20.5 | Won |
| Sep 6 | 16 | +11.5 | Won |
| Aug 30 | 38 | -10.5 | Lost |
| 6 of 14· last season43%needs 60% to break even |
| Record is last season's |
| -33.7Not beating its price |
| Over 34.5 team totalTroy · Tomorrow 4:00 PM ET | +119at Kalshi | 4 of 14· last season29%needs 46% to break even | Record is last season's | -30.3Not beating its price |
| Over 37.5 team totalTroy · Tomorrow 4:00 PM ET | +181at Kalshi | 2 of 14· last season14%needs 36% to break even | Record is last season's | -25.3Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| 9 of 10· last 10 games90%needs 56% to break even |
| -1.6Not beating its price |
| Under 52.5 game total, TROY gamesTroy · Tomorrow 4:00 PM ET | -142at Kalshi | 9 of 10· last 10 games90%needs 59% to break even | -4.0Not beating its price |
| Under 53.5 game total, TROY gamesTroy · Tomorrow 4:00 PM ET | -154at Kalshi | 9 of 10· last 10 games90%needs 61% to break even | -5.5Not beating its price |
| Under 45.5 game total, TROY gamesTroy · Tomorrow 4:00 PM ET | +146at Kalshi | 6 of 10· last 10 games60%needs 41% to break even | -6.8Not beating its price |
| Under 50.5 game total, TROY gamesTroy · Tomorrow 4:00 PM ET | -103at Kalshi | 8 of 10· last 10 games80%needs 51% to break even | -7.3Not beating its price |
| Under 54.5 game total, TROY gamesTroy · Tomorrow 4:00 PM ET | -175at Kalshi | 9 of 10· last 10 games90%needs 64% to break even | -7.9Not beating its price |
| Under 48.5 game total, TROY gamesTroy · Tomorrow 4:00 PM ET | +114at Kalshi | 7 of 10· last 10 games70%needs 47% to break even | -8.0Not beating its price |
| Under 20.5 1st half totalTroy · Tomorrow 4:00 PM ET | +181at Kalshi | 8 of 14· last season57%needs 36% to break even | Record is last season's | -8.9Not beating its price |
| Under 49.5 game total, TROY gamesTroy · Tomorrow 4:00 PM ET | +101at Kalshi | 7 of 10· last 10 games70%needs 50% to break even | -10.4Not beating its price |
| Under 23.5 1st half totalTroy · Tomorrow 4:00 PM ET | +134at Kalshi | 9 of 14· last season64%needs 43% to break even | Record is last season's | -13.4Not beating its price |
| Over 30.5 1st half totalTroy · Tomorrow 4:00 PM ET | +146at Kalshi | 3 of 5· last 5 games60%needs 41% to break even | -17.3Not beating its price |
| Over 27.5 1st half totalTroy · Tomorrow 4:00 PM ET | +105at Kalshi | 4 of 6· this season67%needs 49% to break even | Record is this season's | -18.8Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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