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Won9 of 10last 10 games · 90%
Best price-161Kalshi
Price needs61.7%wins to break even
Every game15 of 20this season and last
Trend score-7.5Not beating its price
How often it won
This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 62% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 4 of 580%needs 62% to break even | 44%–95% | 18 points betterwon 80%, needs 62% |
| Last 10 games | 9 of 1090%needs 62% to break even | 65%–98% | 28 points betterwon 90%, needs 62% |
| Last 15 games | 11 of 1573%needs 62% to break even | 52%–87% | 12 points betterwon 73%, needs 62% |
| This season | 5 of 683%needs 62% to break even | 50%–96% | 22 points betterwon 83%, needs 62% |
| Last season | 10 of 1471%needs 62% to break even | 49%–86% | 10 points betterwon 71%, needs 62% |
| Every game | 15 of 2075%needs 62% to break even | 57%–87% | 13 points betterwon 75%, needs 62% |
Games like tonight
Tonight TROY plays at home, as the favorite, after a loss, against UL. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Every book's price
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Under 34.5 (team total)1 book
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every game behind it
TROY points in each game against under 34.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | TROY points | Beat 34.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 17 |  UL | 6 | +28.5 | Won |
| Oct 6 |  USM | 55 | -20.5 | Lost |
| Sep 26 |  USU | 10 | +24.5 | Won |
| Sep 19 |  MIZ | 17 | +17.5 | Won |
| Sep 12 |  ALST | 34 | +0.5 | Won |
| Sep 5 |  SHSU | 24 | +10.5 | Won |
| Last season | ||||
| Dec 16 | JVST | 13 | +21.5 | Won |
| Dec 5 |  JMU | 14 | +20.5 | Won |
| Nov 29 | USM | 28 | +6.5 | Won |
| Nov 22 |  GAST | 31 | +3.5 | Won |
| Nov 13 |  ODU | 0 | +34.5 | Won |
| Nov 1 |  ARST | 10 | +24.5 | Won |
| Oct 25 | UL | 35 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Oct 18 |  ULM | 37 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Oct 11 |  TXST | 48 | -13.5 | Lost |
| Oct 4 |  USA | 31 | +3.5 | Won |
| Sep 20 |  BUF | 21 | +13.5 | Won |
| Sep 13 |  MEM | 7 | +27.5 | Won |
| Sep 6 |  CLEM | 16 | +18.5 | Won |
| Aug 30 |  NICH | 38 | -3.5 | Lost |
Every number on this bet
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The opposite bet
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 30.5 team totalTroy · Sat, Oct 24, 4:00 PM ET |  -142at Kalshi | 6 of 14· last season43%needs 59% to break even | Record is last season's | -32.9Not beating its price | |
| Over 34.5 team totalTroy · Sat, Oct 24, 4:00 PM ET | +119at Kalshi | 4 of 14· last season29%needs 46% to break even | Record is last season's | -30.3Not beating its price | |
| Over 37.5 team totalTroy · Sat, Oct 24, 4:00 PM ET | +181at Kalshi | 2 of 14· last season14%needs 36% to break even | Record is last season's | -25.3Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
More on Troy in this game
This team's other lines in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.