This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 46% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 560%needs 46% to break even | 27%–86% | 14 points betterwon 60%, needs 46% |
| Last 10 games | 6 of 1060%needs 46% to break even | 35%–81% | 14 points betterwon 60%, needs 46% |
| Last 15 games | 6 of 1540%needs 46% to break even | 22%–61% | 6 points shortwon 40%, needs 46% |
| This season | 3 of 650%needs 46% to break even | 22%–78% | 4 points betterwon 50%, needs 46% |
| Last season | 3 of 1323%needs 46% to break even | 10%–46% | 23 points shortwon 23%, needs 46% |
| Every game | 6 of 1932%needs 46% to break even | 17%–50% | 14 points shortwon 32%, needs 46% |
Tonight UNM plays at home, as the favorite, after a win, against NDSU. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
1H total points in each game against under 19.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | 1H total points | Beat 19.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 17 | 10 | +9.5 | Won | |
| Oct 3 | 21 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 26 | 17 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Sep 19 | 13 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Sep 12 | 56 | -36.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 5 | 20 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Last season | ||||
| Dec 26 | 13 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Nov 28 | 24 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 22 | AFA | 17 | +2.5 | Won |
| Nov 15 | 10 | +9.5 | Won | |
| Nov 1 | 52 | -32.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 25 | 33 | -13.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 18 | 26 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 11 | 31 | -11.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 3 | 38 | -18.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 27 | 31 | -11.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 12 | 21 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 6 | 24 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 30 | 34 | -14.5 | Lost | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 19.5 1st half totalNew Mexico Lobos · Tomorrow 10:00 PM ET | -154at Kalshi | 10 of 13· last season77%needs 61% to break even | Record is last season's | -22.8Not beating its price | |
| Over 20.5 1st half totalNew Mexico Lobos · Tomorrow 10:00 PM ET | -107at Kalshi | 10 of 13· last season77%needs 52% to break even | Record is last season's | -19.4Not beating its price | |
| Over 23.5 1st half totalNew Mexico Lobos · Tomorrow 10:00 PM ET | +134at Kalshi | 9 of 13· last season69%needs 43% to break even | Record is last season's | -18.0Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
This team's other lines in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.