This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 59% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 59% to break even | 14%–73% | 19 points shortwon 40%, needs 59% |
| Last 10 games | 4 of 1040%needs 59% to break even | 19%–65% | 19 points shortwon 40%, needs 59% |
| Last 15 games | 9 of 1560%needs 59% to break even | 39%–78% | 1 points betterwon 60%, needs 59% |
| This season | 3 of 650%needs 59% to break even | 22%–78% | 9 points shortwon 50%, needs 59% |
| Last season | 10 of 1377%needs 59% to break even | 54%–90% | 18 points betterwon 77%, needs 59% |
| Every game | 13 of 1968%needs 59% to break even | 50%–83% | 10 points betterwon 68%, needs 59% |
Tonight UNM plays at home, as the favorite, after a win, against NDSU. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
1H total points in each game against over 19.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | 1H total points | Beat 19.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 17 | 10 | -9.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 3 | ||||
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 16.5 1st half totalNew Mexico Lobos · Tomorrow 10:00 PM ET |
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UNM -10.5 spreadNew Mexico Lobos · Tomorrow 10:00 PM ET |
| 21 |
| +1.5 |
| Won |
| Sep 26 | 17 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Sep 19 | 13 | -6.5 | Lost |
| Sep 12 | 56 | +36.5 | Won |
| Sep 5 | 20 | +0.5 | Won |
| Last season | ||||
| Dec 26 | 13 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 28 | 24 | +4.5 | Won |
| Nov 22 | AFA | 17 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Nov 15 | 10 | -9.5 | Lost |
| Nov 1 | 52 | +32.5 | Won |
| Oct 25 | 33 | +13.5 | Won |
| Oct 18 | 26 | +6.5 | Won |
| Oct 11 | 31 | +11.5 | Won |
| Oct 3 | 38 | +18.5 | Won |
| Sep 27 | 31 | +11.5 | Won |
| Sep 12 | 21 | +1.5 | Won |
| Sep 6 | 24 | +4.5 | Won |
| Aug 30 | 34 | +14.5 | Won |
| 4 of 10· last 10 games40%needs 35% to break even |
| -17.7Not beating its price |
| Under 19.5 1st half totalNew Mexico Lobos · Tomorrow 10:00 PM ET | +119at Kalshi | 6 of 10· last 10 games60%needs 46% to break even | -18.4Not beating its price |
| Under 20.5 1st half totalNew Mexico Lobos · Tomorrow 10:00 PM ET | -116at Kalshi | 7 of 10· last 10 games70%needs 54% to break even | -20.5Not beating its price |
| Under 23.5 1st half totalNew Mexico Lobos · Tomorrow 10:00 PM ET | -183at Kalshi | 8 of 10· last 10 games80%needs 65% to break even | -21.4Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| 5 of 6· this season83%needs 35% to break even |
| Record is this season's |
| -1.5Not beating its price |
| UNM -9.5 spreadNew Mexico Lobos · Tomorrow 10:00 PM ET | +166at Kalshi | 5 of 6· this season83%needs 38% to break even | Record is this season's | -2.8Not beating its price |
| Over 44.5 game total, UNM gamesNew Mexico Lobos · Tomorrow 10:00 PM ET | +152at Kalshi | 9 of 13· last season69%needs 40% to break even | Record is last season's | -4.2Not beating its price |
| UNM -7.5 spreadNew Mexico Lobos · Tomorrow 10:00 PM ET | +146at Kalshi | 5 of 6· this season83%needs 41% to break even | Record is this season's | -5.2Not beating its price |
| Over 27.5 team totalNew Mexico Lobos · Tomorrow 10:00 PM ET | +189at Kalshi | 4 of 6· this season67%needs 35% to break even | Record is this season's | -6.0Not beating its price |
| Over 43.5 game total, UNM gamesNew Mexico Lobos · Tomorrow 10:00 PM ET | +134at Kalshi | 9 of 13· last season69%needs 43% to break even | Record is last season's | -6.6Not beating its price |
| UNM -4.5 spreadNew Mexico Lobos · Tomorrow 10:00 PM ET | NV+100at Novig | 5 of 6· this season83%needs 50% to break even | Record is this season's | -6.9Not beating its price |
| Over 45.5 game total, UNM gamesNew Mexico Lobos · Tomorrow 10:00 PM ET | +173at Kalshi | 8 of 13· last season62%needs 37% to break even | Record is last season's | -7.2Not beating its price |
| UNM -6.5 1st half spreadNew Mexico Lobos · Tomorrow 10:00 PM ET | +152at Kalshi | 6 of 10· last 10 games60%needs 40% to break even | -7.9Not beating its price |
| Over 19.5 team totalNew Mexico Lobos · Tomorrow 10:00 PM ET | -199at Kalshi | 13 of 15· last 15 games87%needs 67% to break even | -8.2Not beating its price |
| Over 46.5 game total, UNM gamesNew Mexico Lobos · Tomorrow 10:00 PM ET | +181at Kalshi | 7 of 13· last season54%needs 36% to break even | Record is last season's | -8.6Not beating its price |
| UNM -5.5 spreadNew Mexico Lobos · Tomorrow 10:00 PM ET | +101at Kalshi | 5 of 6· this season83%needs 50% to break even | Record is this season's | -8.9Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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