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NCAAFGame line1st half spread
UNM 1H -6.5 (1st half spread)
Won6 of 10last 10 games · 60%
Best price+146Kalshi
Price needs40.7%wins to break even
Every game9 of 19this season and last
Trend score-8.6Not beating its price
How often it won
This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 41% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 560%needs 41% to break even | 27%–86% | 19 points betterwon 60%, needs 41% |
| Last 10 games | 6 of 1060%needs 41% to break even | 35%–81% | 19 points betterwon 60%, needs 41% |
| Last 15 games | 8 of 1553%needs 41% to break even | 33%–72% | 13 points betterwon 53%, needs 41% |
| This season | 4 of 667%needs 41% to break even | 35%–88% | 26 points betterwon 67%, needs 41% |
| Last season | 5 of 1338%needs 41% to break even | 20%–61% | 2 points shortwon 38%, needs 41% |
| Every game | 9 of 1947%needs 41% to break even | 30%–65% | 7 points betterwon 47%, needs 41% |
Games like tonight
Tonight UNM plays at home, as the favorite, after a win, against NDSU. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Every book's price
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UNM 1H -6.5 (1st half spread)1 book
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every game behind it
1H margin in each game against unm 1h -6.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | 1H margin | Beat 6.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 17 |  HAW | -10 | -16.5 | Lost |
| Oct 3 |  UTEP | 21 | +14.5 | Won |
| Sep 26 |  NMSU | 11 | +4.5 | Won |
| Sep 19 |  OU | -1 | -7.5 | Lost |
| Sep 12 |  MERC | 42 | +35.5 | Won |
| Sep 5 |  CMU | 20 | +13.5 | Won |
| Last season | ||||
| Dec 26 |  MINN | -1 | -7.5 | Lost |
| Nov 28 |  SDSU | -4 | -10.5 | Lost |
| Nov 22 | AFA | 17 | +10.5 | Won |
| Nov 15 |  CSU | 10 | +3.5 | Won |
| Nov 1 |  UNLV | 10 | +3.5 | Won |
| Oct 25 |  USU | 19 | +12.5 | Won |
| Oct 18 |  NEV | 2 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Oct 11 |  BOIS | -3 | -9.5 | Lost |
| Oct 3 |  SJSU | -4 | -10.5 | Lost |
| Sep 27 | NMSU | -3 | -9.5 | Lost |
| Sep 12 |  UCLA | 7 | +0.5 | Won |
| Sep 6 |  IDST | 4 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Aug 30 |  MICH | -14 | -20.5 | Lost |
Every number on this bet
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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More on New Mexico Lobos in this game
This team's other lines in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.