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NCAAFGame lineSpread
TEX +0.5 (spread)
Won10 of 13last season · 77%
Best price-164Polymarket
Price needs62.1%wins to break even
Every game14 of 19this season and last
Trend score-14.5Not beating its price
How often it won
This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 62% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 560%needs 62% to break even | 27%–86% | 2 points shortwon 60%, needs 62% |
| Last 10 games | 7 of 1070%needs 62% to break even | 44%–87% | 8 points betterwon 70%, needs 62% |
| Last 15 games | 11 of 1573%needs 62% to break even | 52%–87% | 11 points betterwon 73%, needs 62% |
| This season | 4 of 667%needs 62% to break even | 35%–88% | 5 points betterwon 67%, needs 62% |
| Last season | 10 of 1377%needs 62% to break even | 54%–90% | 15 points betterwon 77%, needs 62% |
| Every game | 14 of 1974%needs 62% to break even | 55%–87% | 12 points betterwon 74%, needs 62% |
Games like tonight
Tonight TEX plays at home, as the favorite, after a loss, against MISS. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Every book's price
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
TEX +0.5 (spread)1 book
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every game behind it
Margin in each game against tex +0.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Margin | Beat -0.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 17 |  FLA | -3 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Oct 10 |  OU | -3 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Sep 26 |  TENN | 3 | +3.5 | Won |
| Sep 19 |  UTSA | 24 | +24.5 | Won |
| Sep 12 |  OSU | 1 | +1.5 | Won |
| Sep 5 |  TXST | 52 | +52.5 | Won |
| Last season | ||||
| Dec 31 |  MICH | 14 | +14.5 | Won |
| Nov 28 |  TA&M | 10 | +10.5 | Won |
| Nov 22 |  ARK | 15 | +15.5 | Won |
| Nov 15 |  UGA | -25 | -24.5 | Lost |
| Nov 1 |  VAN | 3 | +3.5 | Won |
| Oct 25 |  MSST | 7 | +7.5 | Won |
| Oct 18 |  UK | 3 | +3.5 | Won |
| Oct 11 | OU | 17 | +17.5 | Won |
| Oct 4 | FLA | -8 | -7.5 | Lost |
| Sep 20 |  SHSU | 55 | +55.5 | Won |
| Sep 13 |  UTEP | 17 | +17.5 | Won |
| Sep 6 |  SJSU | 31 | +31.5 | Won |
| Aug 30 | OSU | -7 | -6.5 | Lost |
Every number on this bet
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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More on Texas Longhorns in this game
This team's other lines in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.