This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 50% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 560%needs 50% to break even | 27%–86% | 10 points betterwon 60%, needs 50% |
| Last 10 games | 7 of 1070%needs 50% to break even | 44%–87% | 20 points betterwon 70%, needs 50% |
| Last 15 games | 11 of 1573%needs 50% to break even | 52%–87% | 24 points betterwon 73%, needs 50% |
| This season | 5 of 771%needs 50% to break even | 41%–90% | 22 points betterwon 71%, needs 50% |
| Last season | 9 of 1369%needs 50% to break even | 46%–85% | 20 points betterwon 69%, needs 50% |
| Every game | 14 of 2070%needs 50% to break even | 52%–84% | 20 points betterwon 70%, needs 50% |
Tonight UTSA plays on the road, as the favorite, after a win, against TULN. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Total points in each game against over 51.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Total points | Beat 51.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 17 | 72 | +20.5 | Won | |
| Oct 8 | 55 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Oct 3 | 30 | -21.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 26 | 104 | +52.5 | Won | |
| Sep 19 | 36 | -15.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 12 | 57 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Sep 5 | RGV | 61 | +9.5 | Won |
| Last season | ||||
| Dec 26 | 77 | +25.5 | Won | |
| Nov 29 | 51 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 22 | 82 | +30.5 | Won | |
| Nov 15 | 35 | -16.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 6 | 78 | +26.5 | Won | |
| Oct 30 | 74 | +22.5 | Won | |
| Oct 18 | 72 | +20.5 | Won | |
| Oct 11 | 74 | +22.5 | Won | |
| Oct 4 | 48 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 20 | 33 | -18.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 13 | 68 | +16.5 | Won | |
| Sep 6 | 79 | +27.5 | Won | |
| Aug 30 | 66 | +14.5 | Won | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 51.5 game total, UTSA gamesUTSA Roadrunners · Sat, Oct 24, 8:00 PM ET | NV-104at Novig | 4 of 13· last season31%needs 51% to break even | Record is last season's | -30.5Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UTSA to win moneylineUTSA Roadrunners · Sat, Oct 24, 8:00 PM ET | PX-128at ProphetX | 6 of 7· this season86%needs 56% to break even | Record is this season's | -7.4Not beating its price | |
| UTSA -2.5 spreadUTSA Roadrunners · Sat, Oct 24, 8:00 PM ET | -106at FanDuel | 10 of 15· last 15 games67%needs 51% to break even | -11.8Not beating its price | ||
| UTSA -0.5 1st half spreadUTSA Roadrunners · Sat, Oct 24, 8:00 PM ET | -103at Kalshi | 8 of 13· last season62%needs 51% to break even | Record is last season's | -12.9Not beating its price | |
| UTSA +0.5 1st half spreadUTSA Roadrunners · Sat, Oct 24, 8:00 PM ET | -175at Kalshi | 8 of 13· last season62%needs 64% to break even | Record is last season's | -23.2Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.