This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 56% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 4 of 580%needs 56% to break even | 44%–95% | 24 points betterwon 80%, needs 56% |
| Last 10 games | 8 of 1080%needs 56% to break even | 54%–93% | 24 points betterwon 80%, needs 56% |
| Last 15 games | 11 of 1573%needs 56% to break even | 52%–87% | 17 points betterwon 73%, needs 56% |
| This season | 6 of 786%needs 56% to break even | 55%–97% | 30 points betterwon 86%, needs 56% |
| Last season | 7 of 1354%needs 56% to break even | 32%–74% | 2 points shortwon 54%, needs 56% |
| Every game | 13 of 2065%needs 56% to break even | 47%–80% | 9 points betterwon 65%, needs 56% |
Tonight UTSA plays on the road, as the favorite, after a win, against TULN. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Margin in each game against utsa to win, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Margin | Beat 0 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 17 | 4 | +4 | Won | |
| Oct 8 | ||||
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 51.5 game total, UTSA gamesUTSA Roadrunners · Tomorrow 8:00 PM ET |
| 7 |
| +7 |
| Won |
| Oct 3 | 2 | +2 | Won |
| Sep 26 | 14 | +14 | Won |
| Sep 19 | -24 | -24 | Lost |
| Sep 12 | 5 | +5 | Won |
| Sep 5 | RGV | 29 | +29 | Won |
| Last season | ||||
| Dec 26 | 37 | +37 | Won | |
| Nov 29 | -3 | -3 | Lost |
| Nov 22 | 34 | +34 | Won |
| Nov 15 | 21 | +21 | Won |
| Nov 6 | -32 | -32 | Lost |
| Oct 30 | 22 | +22 | Won |
| Oct 18 | -38 | -38 | Lost |
| Oct 11 | 48 | +48 | Won |
| Oct 4 | -6 | -6 | Lost |
| Sep 20 | 1 | +1 | Won |
| Sep 13 | 28 | +28 | Won |
| Sep 6 | -7 | -7 | Lost |
| Aug 30 | -18 | -18 | Lost |
| 11 of 15· last 15 games73%needs 50% to break even |
| -5.1Not beating its price |
| UTSA -2.5 spreadUTSA Roadrunners · Tomorrow 8:00 PM ET | -106at FanDuel | 10 of 15· last 15 games67%needs 51% to break even | -11.8Not beating its price |
| UTSA -0.5 1st half spreadUTSA Roadrunners · Tomorrow 8:00 PM ET | -103at Kalshi | 8 of 13· last season62%needs 51% to break even | Record is last season's | -12.9Not beating its price |
| UTSA +0.5 1st half spreadUTSA Roadrunners · Tomorrow 8:00 PM ET | -175at Kalshi | 8 of 13· last season62%needs 64% to break even | Record is last season's | -23.2Not beating its price |
| Under 51.5 game total, UTSA gamesUTSA Roadrunners · Tomorrow 8:00 PM ET | NV-104at Novig | 4 of 13· last season31%needs 51% to break even | Record is last season's | -30.5Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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