This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 51% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 51% to break even | 14%–73% | 11 points shortwon 40%, needs 51% |
| Last 10 games | 4 of 1040%needs 51% to break even | 19%–65% | 11 points shortwon 40%, needs 51% |
| Last 15 games | 5 of 1533%needs 51% to break even | 17%–54% | 18 points shortwon 33%, needs 51% |
| This season | 2 of 633%needs 51% to break even | 12%–65% | 18 points shortwon 33%, needs 51% |
| Last season | 5 of 1242%needs 51% to break even | 22%–64% | 9 points shortwon 42%, needs 51% |
| Every game | 7 of 1839%needs 51% to break even | 23%–58% | 12 points shortwon 39%, needs 51% |
Tonight UNC plays at home, as the favorite, after a win, against SYR. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Total points in each game against over 46.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 46.5 game total, UNC gamesNorth Carolina Tar Heels · Sat, Oct 24, 7:30 PM ET |
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UNC -8.5 spreadNorth Carolina Tar Heels · Sat, Oct 24, 7:30 PM ET |
| 38 |
| -8.5 |
| Lost |
| Oct 3 | 63 | +16.5 | Won |
| Sep 19 | 48 | +1.5 | Won |
| Sep 12 | 38 | -8.5 | Lost |
| Aug 29 | 25 | -21.5 | Lost |
| Last season | ||||
| Nov 29 | 61 | +14.5 | Won | |
| Nov 22 | 57 | +10.5 | Won |
| Nov 15 | 40 | -6.5 | Lost |
| Nov 8 | 35 | -11.5 | Lost |
| Oct 31 | 37 | -9.5 | Lost |
| Oct 25 | 33 | -13.5 | Lost |
| Oct 17 | 39 | -7.5 | Lost |
| Oct 4 | 48 | +1.5 | Won |
| Sep 20 | 43 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Sep 13 | 47 | +0.5 | Won |
| Sep 6 | 23 | -23.5 | Lost |
| Sep 1 | 62 | +15.5 | Won |
| 10 of 15· last 15 games67%needs 51% to break even |
| -11.7Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| 3 of 12· last season25%needs 51% to break even |
| Record is last season's |
| -36.0Not beating its price |
| UNC to win moneylineNorth Carolina Tar Heels · Sat, Oct 24, 7:30 PM ET | NV-300at Novig | 4 of 6· this season67%needs 75% to break even | Record is this season's | -39.2Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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