This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 75% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 560%needs 75% to break even | 27%–86% | 15 points shortwon 60%, needs 75% |
| Last 10 games | 5 of 1050%needs 75% to break even | 27%–73% | 25 points shortwon 50%, needs 75% |
| Last 15 games | 6 of 1540%needs 75% to break even | 22%–61% | 35 points shortwon 40%, needs 75% |
| This season | 4 of 667%needs 75% to break even | 35%–88% | 8 points shortwon 67%, needs 75% |
| Last season | 4 of 1233%needs 75% to break even | 16%–57% | 42 points shortwon 33%, needs 75% |
| Every game | 8 of 1844%needs 75% to break even | 27%–63% | 31 points shortwon 44%, needs 75% |
Tonight UNC plays at home, as the favorite, after a win, against SYR. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Margin in each game against unc to win, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Margin | Beat 0 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 17 | 4 | +4 | Won | |
| Oct 10 | 4 | +4 | Won | |
| Oct 3 | -11 | -11 | Lost | |
| Sep 19 | -8 | -8 | Lost | |
| Sep 12 | 32 | +32 | Won | |
| Aug 29 | 5 | +5 | Won | |
| Last season | ||||
| Nov 29 | -23 | -23 | Lost | |
| Nov 22 | -7 | -7 | Lost | |
| Nov 15 | -16 | -16 | Lost | |
| Nov 8 | 5 | +5 | Won | |
| Oct 31 | 17 | +17 | Won | |
| Oct 25 | -1 | -1 | Lost | |
| Oct 17 | -3 | -3 | Lost | |
| Oct 4 | -28 | -28 | Lost | |
| Sep 20 | -25 | -25 | Lost | |
| Sep 13 | 35 | +35 | Won | |
| Sep 6 | 17 | +17 | Won | |
| Sep 1 | -34 | -34 | Lost | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 46.5 game total, UNC gamesNorth Carolina Tar Heels · Sat, Oct 24, 7:30 PM ET | NV-104at Novig | 10 of 15· last 15 games67%needs 51% to break even | -11.7Not beating its price | ||
| Over 46.5 game total, UNC gamesNorth Carolina Tar Heels · Sat, Oct 24, 7:30 PM ET | NV-104at Novig | 5 of 12· last season42%needs 51% to break even | Record is last season's | -26.3Not beating its price | |
| UNC -8.5 spreadNorth Carolina Tar Heels · Sat, Oct 24, 7:30 PM ET | NV-106at Novig | 3 of 12· last season25%needs 51% to break even | Record is last season's | -36.0Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.