This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 51% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 1 of 520%needs 51% to break even | 5%–56% | 31 points shortwon 20%, needs 51% |
| Last 10 games | 1 of 1010%needs 51% to break even | 2%–35% | 41 points shortwon 10%, needs 51% |
| Last 15 games | 2 of 1513%needs 51% to break even | 5%–33% | 38 points shortwon 13%, needs 51% |
| This season | 1 of 617%needs 51% to break even | 4%–50% | 35 points shortwon 17%, needs 51% |
| Last season | 3 of 1225%needs 51% to break even | 10%–49% | 26 points shortwon 25%, needs 51% |
| Every game | 4 of 1822%needs 51% to break even | 10%–41% | 29 points shortwon 22%, needs 51% |
Tonight UNC plays at home, as the favorite, after a win, against SYR. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Margin in each game against unc -8.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Margin | Beat 8.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 17 | 4 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 10 | ||||
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 46.5 game total, UNC gamesNorth Carolina Tar Heels · Sat, Oct 24, 7:30 PM ET |
| 4 |
| -4.5 |
| Lost |
| Oct 3 | -11 | -19.5 | Lost |
| Sep 19 | -8 | -16.5 | Lost |
| Sep 12 | 32 | +23.5 | Won |
| Aug 29 | 5 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Last season | ||||
| Nov 29 | -23 | -31.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 22 | -7 | -15.5 | Lost |
| Nov 15 | -16 | -24.5 | Lost |
| Nov 8 | 5 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Oct 31 | 17 | +8.5 | Won |
| Oct 25 | -1 | -9.5 | Lost |
| Oct 17 | -3 | -11.5 | Lost |
| Oct 4 | -28 | -36.5 | Lost |
| Sep 20 | -25 | -33.5 | Lost |
| Sep 13 | 35 | +26.5 | Won |
| Sep 6 | 17 | +8.5 | Won |
| Sep 1 | -34 | -42.5 | Lost |
| 10 of 15· last 15 games67%needs 51% to break even |
| -11.7Not beating its price |
| Over 46.5 game total, UNC gamesNorth Carolina Tar Heels · Sat, Oct 24, 7:30 PM ET | NV-104at Novig | 5 of 12· last season42%needs 51% to break even | Record is last season's | -26.3Not beating its price |
| UNC to win moneylineNorth Carolina Tar Heels · Sat, Oct 24, 7:30 PM ET | NV-300at Novig | 4 of 6· this season67%needs 75% to break even | Record is this season's | -39.2Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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