This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 51% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 4 of 580%needs 51% to break even | 44%–95% | 29 points betterwon 80%, needs 51% |
| Last 10 games | 8 of 1080%needs 51% to break even | 54%–93% | 29 points betterwon 80%, needs 51% |
| Last 15 games | 11 of 1573%needs 51% to break even | 52%–87% | 22 points betterwon 73%, needs 51% |
| This season | 5 of 771%needs 51% to break even | 41%–90% | 20 points betterwon 71%, needs 51% |
| Last season | 9 of 1369%needs 51% to break even | 46%–85% | 18 points betterwon 69%, needs 51% |
| Every game | 14 of 2070%needs 51% to break even | 52%–84% | 19 points betterwon 70%, needs 51% |
Tonight VAN plays on the road, as the underdog, after a loss, against UK. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Total points in each game against over 51.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Total points | Beat 51.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 17 | 52 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 10 | ||||
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 51.5 game total, VAN gamesVanderbilt Commodores · Sat, Oct 24, 7:30 PM ET |
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VAN to win moneylineVanderbilt Commodores · Sat, Oct 24, 7:30 PM ET |
| 69 |
| +17.5 |
| Won |
| Oct 3 | 52 | +0.5 | Won |
| Sep 26 | 36 | -15.5 | Lost |
| Sep 19 | 66 | +14.5 | Won |
| Sep 12 | 61 | +9.5 | Won |
| Sep 5 | 37 | -14.5 | Lost |
| Last season | ||||
| Dec 31 | 61 | +9.5 | Won | |
| Nov 29 | 69 | +17.5 | Won |
| Nov 22 | 62 | +10.5 | Won |
| Nov 8 | 83 | +31.5 | Won |
| Nov 1 | 65 | +13.5 | Won |
| Oct 25 | 27 | -24.5 | Lost |
| Oct 18 | 55 | +3.5 | Won |
| Oct 4 | 44 | -7.5 | Lost |
| Sep 27 | 90 | +38.5 | Won |
| Sep 20 | 91 | +39.5 | Won |
| Sep 13 | 38 | -13.5 | Lost |
| Sep 6 | 64 | +12.5 | Won |
| Aug 30 | 48 | -3.5 | Lost |
| 4 of 13· last season31%needs 51% to break even |
| Record is last season's |
| -32.6Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| 10 of 13· last season77%needs 21% to break even |
| Record is last season's |
| 6.5Good |
| VAN +10.5 spreadVanderbilt Commodores · Sat, Oct 24, 7:30 PM ET | NV+100at Novig | 12 of 13· last season92%needs 50% to break even | Record is last season's | 2.3Slight |
| VAN +0.5 1st half spreadVanderbilt Commodores · Sat, Oct 24, 7:30 PM ET | +189at Kalshi | 9 of 13· last season69%needs 35% to break even | Record is last season's | -8.7Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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