This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 50% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 560%needs 50% to break even | 27%–86% | 10 points betterwon 60%, needs 50% |
| Last 10 games | 8 of 1080%needs 50% to break even | 54%–93% | 30 points betterwon 80%, needs 50% |
| Last 15 games | 12 of 1580%needs 50% to break even | 59%–92% | 30 points betterwon 80%, needs 50% |
| This season | 5 of 771%needs 50% to break even | 41%–90% | 21 points betterwon 71%, needs 50% |
| Last season | 12 of 1392%needs 50% to break even | 72%–98% | 42 points betterwon 92%, needs 50% |
| Every game | 17 of 2085%needs 50% to break even | 68%–94% | 35 points betterwon 85%, needs 50% |
Tonight VAN plays on the road, as the underdog, after a loss, against UK. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Margin in each game against van +10.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Margin | Beat -10.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 17 | -10 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 10 | -35 | -24.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 3 | -24 | -13.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 26 | -6 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Sep 19 | 4 | +14.5 | Won | |
| Sep 12 | 9 | +19.5 | Won | |
| Sep 5 | 19 | +29.5 | Won | |
| Last season | ||||
| Dec 31 | -7 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Nov 29 | 21 | +31.5 | Won | |
| Nov 22 | 28 | +38.5 | Won | |
| Nov 8 | 7 | +17.5 | Won | |
| Nov 1 | -3 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Oct 25 | 7 | +17.5 | Won | |
| Oct 18 | 7 | +17.5 | Won | |
| Oct 4 | -16 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 27 | 20 | +30.5 | Won | |
| Sep 20 | 49 | +59.5 | Won | |
| Sep 13 | 24 | +34.5 | Won | |
| Sep 6 | 24 | +34.5 | Won | |
| Aug 30 | 42 | +52.5 | Won | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VAN to win moneylineVanderbilt Commodores · Sat, Oct 24, 7:30 PM ET | NV+376at Novig | 10 of 13· last season77%needs 21% to break even | Record is last season's | 6.5Good | |
| Over 51.5 game total, VAN gamesVanderbilt Commodores · Sat, Oct 24, 7:30 PM ET | NV-104at Novig | 8 of 10· last 10 games80%needs 51% to break even | -2.7Not beating its price | ||
| VAN +0.5 1st half spreadVanderbilt Commodores · Sat, Oct 24, 7:30 PM ET | +189at Kalshi | 9 of 13· last season69%needs 35% to break even | Record is last season's | -8.7Not beating its price | |
| Under 51.5 game total, VAN gamesVanderbilt Commodores · Sat, Oct 24, 7:30 PM ET | NV-104at Novig | 4 of 13· last season31%needs 51% to break even | Record is last season's | -32.6Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.