This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 21% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 1 of 520%needs 21% to break even | 5%–56% | 1 points shortwon 20%, needs 21% |
| Last 10 games | 5 of 1050%needs 21% to break even | 27%–73% | 29 points betterwon 50%, needs 21% |
| Last 15 games | 8 of 1553%needs 21% to break even | 33%–72% | 32 points betterwon 53%, needs 21% |
| This season | 3 of 743%needs 21% to break even | 19%–71% | 22 points betterwon 43%, needs 21% |
| Last season | 10 of 1377%needs 21% to break even | 54%–90% | 56 points betterwon 77%, needs 21% |
| Every game | 13 of 2065%needs 21% to break even | 47%–80% | 44 points betterwon 65%, needs 21% |
Tonight VAN plays on the road, as the underdog, after a loss, against UK. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Margin in each game against van to win, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Margin | Beat 0 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 17 | -10 | -10 | Lost | |
| Oct 10 | ||||
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VAN +10.5 spreadVanderbilt Commodores · Tomorrow 7:30 PM ET |
| -35 |
| -35 |
| Lost |
| Oct 3 | -24 | -24 | Lost |
| Sep 26 | -6 | -6 | Lost |
| Sep 19 | 4 | +4 | Won |
| Sep 12 | 9 | +9 | Won |
| Sep 5 | 19 | +19 | Won |
| Last season | ||||
| Dec 31 | -7 | -7 | Lost | |
| Nov 29 | 21 | +21 | Won |
| Nov 22 | 28 | +28 | Won |
| Nov 8 | 7 | +7 | Won |
| Nov 1 | -3 | -3 | Lost |
| Oct 25 | 7 | +7 | Won |
| Oct 18 | 7 | +7 | Won |
| Oct 4 | -16 | -16 | Lost |
| Sep 27 | 20 | +20 | Won |
| Sep 20 | 49 | +49 | Won |
| Sep 13 | 24 | +24 | Won |
| Sep 6 | 24 | +24 | Won |
| Aug 30 | 42 | +42 | Won |
| 12 of 13· last season92%needs 50% to break even |
| Record is last season's |
| 2.3Slight |
| Over 51.5 game total, VAN gamesVanderbilt Commodores · Tomorrow 7:30 PM ET | NV-104at Novig | 8 of 10· last 10 games80%needs 51% to break even | -2.7Not beating its price |
| VAN +0.5 1st half spreadVanderbilt Commodores · Tomorrow 7:30 PM ET | +189at Kalshi | 9 of 13· last season69%needs 35% to break even | Record is last season's | -8.7Not beating its price |
| Under 51.5 game total, VAN gamesVanderbilt Commodores · Tomorrow 7:30 PM ET | NV-104at Novig | 4 of 13· last season31%needs 51% to break even | Record is last season's | -32.6Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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