This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 64% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 64% to break even | 14%–73% | 24 points shortwon 40%, needs 64% |
| Last 10 games | 4 of 1040%needs 64% to break even | 19%–65% | 24 points shortwon 40%, needs 64% |
| Last 15 games | 4 of 1527%needs 64% to break even | 13%–48% | 37 points shortwon 27%, needs 64% |
| This season | 3 of 650%needs 64% to break even | 22%–78% | 14 points shortwon 50%, needs 64% |
| Last season | 1 of 128%needs 64% to break even | 2%–30% | 55 points shortwon 8%, needs 64% |
| Every game | 4 of 1822%needs 64% to break even | 10%–41% | 41 points shortwon 22%, needs 64% |
Tonight NEV plays at home, as the favorite, after a loss, against SJSU. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
NEV points in each game against over 23.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | NEV points | Beat 23.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 17 | 17 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 10 | 30 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Sep 26 | AFA | 33 | +9.5 | Won |
| Sep 19 | 20 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 12 | 7 | -16.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 5 | 49 | +25.5 | Won | |
| Last season | ||||
| Nov 29 | 17 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 22 | 13 | -10.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 15 | 55 | +31.5 | Won | |
| Nov 8 | 14 | -9.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 24 | 3 | -20.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 18 | 22 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 11 | 10 | -13.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 4 | 17 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 20 | 16 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 13 | 13 | -10.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 6 | 20 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 30 | 11 | -12.5 | Lost | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 23.5 team totalNevada Wolf Pack · Tomorrow 5:00 PM ET | +146at Kalshi | 11 of 12· last season92%needs 41% to break even | Record is last season's | 2.2Slight | |
| Under 25.5 team totalNevada Wolf Pack · Tomorrow 5:00 PM ET | +109at Kalshi | 11 of 12· last season92%needs 48% to break even | Record is last season's | -3.5Not beating its price | |
| Under 27.5 team totalNevada Wolf Pack · Tomorrow 5:00 PM ET | -131at Kalshi | 11 of 12· last season92%needs 57% to break even | Record is last season's | -10.4Not beating its price | |
| Under 30.5 team totalNevada Wolf Pack · Tomorrow 5:00 PM ET | -191at Kalshi | 11 of 12· last season92%needs 66% to break even | Record is last season's | -11.0Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
This team's other lines in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.