This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 35% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 4 of 580%needs 35% to break even | 44%–95% | 45 points betterwon 80%, needs 35% |
| Last 10 games | 5 of 1050%needs 35% to break even | 27%–73% | 15 points betterwon 50%, needs 35% |
| Last 15 games | 8 of 1553%needs 35% to break even | 33%–72% | 19 points betterwon 53%, needs 35% |
| This season | 5 of 771%needs 35% to break even | 41%–90% | 37 points betterwon 71%, needs 35% |
| Last season | 4 of 1233%needs 35% to break even | 16%–57% | 1 points shortwon 33%, needs 35% |
| Every game | 9 of 1947%needs 35% to break even | 30%–65% | 13 points betterwon 47%, needs 35% |
Tonight SJSU plays on the road, as the underdog, after a win, against NEV. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
1H margin in each game against sjsu 1h -0.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | 1H margin | Beat 0.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 17 | 7 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Oct 9 | 1 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 3 | 14 | +13.5 | Won | |
| Sep 19 | -3 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 12 | 7 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Sep 4 | 3 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Aug 29 | -28 | -28.5 | Lost | |
| Last season | ||||
| Nov 29 | -14 | -14.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 22 | -15 | -15.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 15 | -31 | -31.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 8 | AFA | -13 | -13.5 | Lost |
| Nov 1 | 17 | +16.5 | Won | |
| Oct 17 | -1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 11 | 14 | +13.5 | Won | |
| Oct 3 | 4 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Sep 27 | 6 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Sep 20 | 0 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 6 | -21 | -21.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 29 | -6 | -6.5 | Lost | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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This team's other lines in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.