This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 45% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 4 of 580%needs 45% to break even | 44%–95% | 35 points betterwon 80%, needs 45% |
| Last 10 games | 5 of 1050%needs 45% to break even | 27%–73% | 5 points betterwon 50%, needs 45% |
| Last 15 games | 7 of 1547%needs 45% to break even | 28%–67% | 2 points betterwon 47%, needs 45% |
| This season | 5 of 771%needs 45% to break even | 41%–90% | 27 points betterwon 71%, needs 45% |
| Last season | 5 of 1242%needs 45% to break even | 22%–64% | 3 points shortwon 42%, needs 45% |
| Every game | 10 of 1953%needs 45% to break even | 35%–70% | 8 points betterwon 53%, needs 45% |
Tonight SJSU plays on the road, as the underdog, after a win, against NEV. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Margin in each game against sjsu +4.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Margin | Beat -4.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 17 | 13 | +17.5 | Won | |
| Oct 9 | -3 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Oct 3 | 4 | +8.5 | Won | |
| Sep 19 | -16 | -11.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 12 | 10 | +14.5 | Won | |
| Sep 4 | 6 | +10.5 | Won | |
| Aug 29 | -16 | -11.5 | Lost | |
| Last season | ||||
| Nov 29 | -27 | -22.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 22 | -22 | -17.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 15 | -45 | -40.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 8 | AFA | -10 | -5.5 | Lost |
| Nov 1 | 7 | +11.5 | Won | |
| Oct 17 | -5 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 11 | -7 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 3 | 7 | +11.5 | Won | |
| Sep 27 | -1 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Sep 20 | 3 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Sep 6 | -31 | -26.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 29 | -2 | +2.5 | Won | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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This team's other lines in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.