This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 52% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 560%needs 52% to break even | 27%–86% | 8 points betterwon 60%, needs 52% | 45.6total points |
| Last 10 games | 6 of 1060%needs 52% to break even | 35%–81% | 8 points betterwon 60%, needs 52% | 44.6total points |
| Last 15 games | 8 of 1553%needs 52% to break even | 33%–72% | 1 points betterwon 53%, needs 52% | 46.3total points |
| This season | 3 of 743%needs 52% to break even | 19%–71% | 10 points shortwon 43%, needs 52% | 50.7total points |
| Last season |
Tonight MIZ plays on the road, as the favorite, after a loss, against ARK. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 5 of 7 on the road.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Total points in each game against under 48.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Total points | Beat 48.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 48.5 game total, MIZ gamesMissouri Tigers · Sat, Oct 31, 7:45 PM ET |
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MIZ -9.5 spreadMissouri Tigers · Sat, Oct 31, 7:45 PM ET |
| 26%–68% |
| 6 points shortwon 46%, needs 52% |
| 49.2total points |
| Every game | 9 of 2045%needs 52% to break even | 28%–63% | 7 points shortwon 45%, needs 52% | 49.7total points |
| Oct 17 | 34 | +14.5 | Won |
| Oct 10 | 33 | +15.5 | Won |
| Oct 3 | 62 | -13.5 | Lost |
| Sep 26 | 55 | -6.5 | Lost |
| Sep 19 | 44 | +4.5 | Won |
| Sep 11 | 59 | -10.5 | Lost |
| Sep 3 | 68 | -19.5 | Lost |
| Last season | ||||
| Dec 27 | 20 | +28.5 | Won | |
| Nov 29 | 48 | +0.5 | Won |
| Nov 22 | 23 | +25.5 | Won |
| Nov 15 | 76 | -27.5 | Lost |
| Nov 8 | 55 | -6.5 | Lost |
| Oct 25 | 27 | +21.5 | Won |
| Oct 18 | 40 | +8.5 | Won |
| Oct 11 | 51 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Sep 27 | 48 | +0.5 | Won |
| Sep 20 | SC | 49 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Sep 13 | 62 | -13.5 | Lost |
| Sep 6 | 73 | -24.5 | Lost |
| Aug 28 | 67 | -18.5 | Lost |
| -110at FanDuel |
| 7 of 13· last season54%needs 52% to break even2 of 7 on the road |
| Record is last season's |
| -21.5Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| -122at FanDuel |
| 5 of 7· this season71%needs 55% to break even2 of 7 on the road |
| Record is this season's |
| -18.9Not beating its price |
| MIZ to win moneylineMissouri Tigers · Sat, Oct 31, 7:45 PM ET | -385at FanDuel | 5 of 7· this season71%needs 79% to break even3 of 7 on the road | Record is this season's | -34.9Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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