This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 79% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 560%needs 79% to break even | 27%–86% | 19 points shortwon 60%, needs 79% | won by 4.8points |
| Last 10 games | 6 of 1060%needs 79% to break even | 35%–81% | 19 points shortwon 60%, needs 79% | won by 7.8points |
| Last 15 games | 8 of 1553%needs 79% to break even | 33%–72% | 26 points shortwon 53%, needs 79% | won by 5points |
| This season | 5 of 771%needs 79% to break even | 41%–90% | 8 points shortwon 71%, needs 79% | won by 11.6points |
| Last season | 8 of 1362%needs 79% to break even | 39%–80% | 18 points shortwon 62%, needs 79% | won by 11.3points |
| Every game | 13 of 2065%needs 79% to break even | 47%–80% | 14 points shortwon 65%, needs 79% | won by 11.4points |
Tonight MIZ plays on the road, as the favorite, after a loss, against ARK. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 3 of 7 on the road.
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Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Margin in each game against MIZ to win, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Margin | Beat 0 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 17 | -28 | -28 | Lost | |
| Oct 10 | 21 | +21 | Won | |
| Oct 3 | 28 | +28 | Won | |
| Sep 26 | -7 | -7 | Lost | |
| Sep 19 | 10 | +10 | Won | |
| Sep 11 | 17 | +17 | Won | |
| Sep 3 | 40 | +40 | Won | |
| Last season | ||||
| Dec 27 | -6 | -6 | Lost | |
| Nov 29 | 14 | +14 | Won | |
| Nov 22 | -11 | -11 | Lost | |
| Nov 15 | 22 | +22 | Won | |
| Nov 8 | -21 | -21 | Lost | |
| Oct 25 | -7 | -7 | Lost | |
| Oct 18 | 6 | +6 | Won | |
| Oct 11 | -3 | -3 | Lost | |
| Sep 27 | 36 | +36 | Won | |
| Sep 20 | SC | 9 | +9 | Won |
| Sep 13 | 42 | +42 | Won | |
| Sep 6 | 11 | +11 | Won | |
| Aug 28 | 55 | +55 | Won | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MIZ -9.5 spreadMissouri Tigers · Sat, Oct 31, 7:45 PM ET | -122at FanDuel | 5 of 7· this season71%needs 55% to break even2 of 7 on the road | Record is this season's | -18.9Not beating its price | |
| Under 48.5 game total, MIZ gamesMissouri Tigers · Sat, Oct 31, 7:45 PM ET | -110at FanDuel | 6 of 10· last 10 games60%needs 52% to break even5 of 7 on the road | -19.5Not beating its price | ||
| Over 48.5 game total, MIZ gamesMissouri Tigers · Sat, Oct 31, 7:45 PM ET | -110at FanDuel | 7 of 13· last season54%needs 52% to break even2 of 7 on the road | Record is last season's | -21.5Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.