This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 55% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 560%needs 55% to break even | 27%–86% | 5 points betterwon 60%, needs 55% | won by 4.8points |
| Last 10 games | 6 of 1060%needs 55% to break even | 35%–81% | 5 points betterwon 60%, needs 55% | won by 7.8points |
| Last 15 games | 7 of 1547%needs 55% to break even | 28%–67% | 8 points shortwon 47%, needs 55% | won by 5points |
| This season | 5 of 771%needs 55% to break even | 41%–90% | 16 points betterwon 71%, needs 55% | won by 11.6points |
| Last season |
Tonight MIZ plays on the road, as the favorite, after a loss, against ARK. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 2 of 7 on the road.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Margin in each game against MIZ -9.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Margin | Beat 9.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 48.5 game total, MIZ gamesMissouri Tigers · Sat, Oct 31, 7:45 PM ET |
| 26%–68% |
| 9 points shortwon 46%, needs 55% |
| won by 11.3points |
| Every game | 11 of 2055%needs 55% to break even | 37%–72% | evenwon 55%, needs 55% | won by 11.4points |
| Oct 17 | -28 | -37.5 | Lost |
| Oct 10 | 21 | +11.5 | Won |
| Oct 3 | 28 | +18.5 | Won |
| Sep 26 | -7 | -16.5 | Lost |
| Sep 19 | 10 | +0.5 | Won |
| Sep 11 | 17 | +7.5 | Won |
| Sep 3 | 40 | +30.5 | Won |
| Last season | ||||
| Dec 27 | -6 | -15.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 29 | 14 | +4.5 | Won |
| Nov 22 | -11 | -20.5 | Lost |
| Nov 15 | 22 | +12.5 | Won |
| Nov 8 | -21 | -30.5 | Lost |
| Oct 25 | -7 | -16.5 | Lost |
| Oct 18 | 6 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Oct 11 | -3 | -12.5 | Lost |
| Sep 27 | 36 | +26.5 | Won |
| Sep 20 | SC | 9 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Sep 13 | 42 | +32.5 | Won |
| Sep 6 | 11 | +1.5 | Won |
| Aug 28 | 55 | +45.5 | Won |
| -110at FanDuel |
| 6 of 10· last 10 games60%needs 52% to break even5 of 7 on the road |
| -19.5Not beating its price |
| Over 48.5 game total, MIZ gamesMissouri Tigers · Sat, Oct 31, 7:45 PM ET | -110at FanDuel | 7 of 13· last season54%needs 52% to break even2 of 7 on the road | Record is last season's | -21.5Not beating its price |
| MIZ to win moneylineMissouri Tigers · Sat, Oct 31, 7:45 PM ET | -385at FanDuel | 5 of 7· this season71%needs 79% to break even3 of 7 on the road | Record is this season's | -34.9Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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