This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 52% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 560%needs 52% to break even | 27%–86% | 8 points betterwon 60%, needs 52% | 47.2total points |
| Last 10 games | 6 of 1060%needs 52% to break even | 35%–81% | 8 points betterwon 60%, needs 52% | 51.6total points |
| Last 15 games | 6 of 1540%needs 52% to break even | 22%–61% | 12 points shortwon 40%, needs 52% | 57.8total points |
| This season | 4 of 757%needs 52% to break even | 29%–81% | 5 points betterwon 57%, needs 52% | 47.7total points |
| Last season |
Tonight ARK plays at home, as the underdog, after a win, against MIZ. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 4 of 11 at home.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Total points in each game against under 48.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Total points | Beat 48.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 17 | ||||
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 48.5 game total, ARK gamesArkansas Razorbacks · Sat, Oct 31, 7:45 PM ET |
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ARK to win moneylineArkansas Razorbacks · Sat, Oct 31, 7:45 PM ET |
| 6%–40% |
| 36 points shortwon 17%, needs 52% |
| 66.8total points |
| Every game | 6 of 1932%needs 52% to break even | 17%–50% | 21 points shortwon 32%, needs 52% | 59.7total points |
| 52 |
| -3.5 |
| Lost |
| Oct 10 | 41 | +7.5 | Won |
| Oct 3 | 41 | +7.5 | Won |
| Sep 26 | 40 | +8.5 | Won |
| Sep 19 | 62 | -13.5 | Lost |
| Sep 12 | 53 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Sep 5 | 45 | +3.5 | Won |
| Last season | ||||
| Nov 29 | 48 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 22 | 89 | -40.5 | Lost |
| Nov 15 | 45 | +3.5 | Won |
| Nov 1 | 73 | -24.5 | Lost |
| Oct 25 | 57 | -8.5 | Lost |
| Oct 18 | 87 | -38.5 | Lost |
| Oct 11 | 65 | -16.5 | Lost |
| Sep 27 | 69 | -20.5 | Lost |
| Sep 20 | 63 | -14.5 | Lost |
| Sep 13 | 76 | -27.5 | Lost |
| Sep 6 | 70 | -21.5 | Lost |
| Aug 30 | 59 | -10.5 | Lost |
| -110at FanDuel |
| 10 of 12· last season83%needs 52% to break even7 of 11 at home |
| Record is last season's |
| -15.6Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| +300at FanDuel |
| 3 of 7· this season43%needs 25% to break even4 of 11 at home |
| Record is this season's |
| -10.7Not beating its price |
| ARK +9.5 spreadArkansas Razorbacks · Sat, Oct 31, 7:45 PM ET | +100at FanDuel | 9 of 12· last season75%needs 50% to break even8 of 11 at home | Record is last season's | -11.1Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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