This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 50% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 560%needs 50% to break even | 27%–86% | 10 points betterwon 60%, needs 50% | lost by 4.8points |
| Last 10 games | 5 of 1050%needs 50% to break even | 27%–73% | evenwon 50%, needs 50% | lost by 7points |
| Last 15 games | 9 of 1560%needs 50% to break even | 39%–78% | 10 points betterwon 60%, needs 50% | lost by 8.7points |
| This season | 4 of 757%needs 50% to break even | 29%–81% | 7 points betterwon 57%, needs 50% | lost by 5.7points |
| Last season | 9 of 1275%needs 50% to break even | 51%–90% | 25 points betterwon 75%, needs 50% | lost by 0.9points |
| Every game | 13 of 1968%needs 50% to break even | 50%–83% | 18 points betterwon 68%, needs 50% | lost by 2.7points |
Tonight ARK plays at home, as the underdog, after a win, against MIZ. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 8 of 11 at home.
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Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Margin in each game against ARK +9.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Margin | Beat -9.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 17 | 10 | +19.5 | Won | |
| Oct 10 | -7 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Oct 3 | -27 | -17.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 26 | 28 | +37.5 | Won | |
| Sep 19 | -28 | -18.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 12 | -33 | -23.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 5 | 17 | +26.5 | Won | |
| Last season | ||||
| Nov 29 | -14 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 22 | -15 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 15 | -1 | +8.5 | Won | |
| Nov 1 | -3 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Oct 25 | -9 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 18 | -3 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Oct 11 | -3 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Sep 27 | -43 | -33.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 20 | -1 | +8.5 | Won | |
| Sep 13 | -6 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Sep 6 | 42 | +51.5 | Won | |
| Aug 30 | 45 | +54.5 | Won | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ARK to win moneylineArkansas Razorbacks · Sat, Oct 31, 7:45 PM ET | +300at FanDuel | 3 of 7· this season43%needs 25% to break even4 of 11 at home | Record is this season's | -10.7Not beating its price | |
| Over 48.5 game total, ARK gamesArkansas Razorbacks · Sat, Oct 31, 7:45 PM ET | -110at FanDuel | 10 of 12· last season83%needs 52% to break even7 of 11 at home | Record is last season's | -15.6Not beating its price | |
| Under 48.5 game total, ARK gamesArkansas Razorbacks · Sat, Oct 31, 7:45 PM ET | -110at FanDuel | 6 of 10· last 10 games60%needs 52% to break even4 of 11 at home | -23.4Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.