This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 25% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 25% to break even | 14%–73% | 15 points betterwon 40%, needs 25% | lost by 4.8points |
| Last 10 games | 3 of 1030%needs 25% to break even | 13%–56% | 5 points betterwon 30%, needs 25% | lost by 7points |
| Last 15 games | 3 of 1520%needs 25% to break even | 8%–41% | 5 points shortwon 20%, needs 25% | lost by 8.7points |
| This season | 3 of 743%needs 25% to break even | 19%–71% | 18 points betterwon 43%, needs 25% | lost by 5.7points |
| Last season |
Tonight ARK plays at home, as the underdog, after a win, against MIZ. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 4 of 11 at home.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Margin in each game against ARK to win, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ARK +9.5 spreadArkansas Razorbacks · Sat, Oct 31, 7:45 PM ET |
| 6%–40% |
| 8 points shortwon 17%, needs 25% |
| lost by 0.9points |
| Every game | 5 of 1926%needs 25% to break even | 13%–45% | 1 points betterwon 26%, needs 25% | lost by 2.7points |
| 10 |
| +10 |
| Won |
| Oct 10 | -7 | -7 | Lost |
| Oct 3 | -27 | -27 | Lost |
| Sep 26 | 28 | +28 | Won |
| Sep 19 | -28 | -28 | Lost |
| Sep 12 | -33 | -33 | Lost |
| Sep 5 | 17 | +17 | Won |
| Last season | ||||
| Nov 29 | -14 | -14 | Lost | |
| Nov 22 | -15 | -15 | Lost |
| Nov 15 | -1 | -1 | Lost |
| Nov 1 | -3 | -3 | Lost |
| Oct 25 | -9 | -9 | Lost |
| Oct 18 | -3 | -3 | Lost |
| Oct 11 | -3 | -3 | Lost |
| Sep 27 | -43 | -43 | Lost |
| Sep 20 | -1 | -1 | Lost |
| Sep 13 | -6 | -6 | Lost |
| Sep 6 | 42 | +42 | Won |
| Aug 30 | 45 | +45 | Won |
| +100at FanDuel |
| 9 of 12· last season75%needs 50% to break even8 of 11 at home |
| Record is last season's |
| -11.1Not beating its price |
| Over 48.5 game total, ARK gamesArkansas Razorbacks · Sat, Oct 31, 7:45 PM ET | -110at FanDuel | 10 of 12· last season83%needs 52% to break even7 of 11 at home | Record is last season's | -15.6Not beating its price |
| Under 48.5 game total, ARK gamesArkansas Razorbacks · Sat, Oct 31, 7:45 PM ET | -110at FanDuel | 6 of 10· last 10 games60%needs 52% to break even4 of 11 at home | -23.4Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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