This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 51% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 5 of 5100%needs 51% to break even | 65%–100% | 49 points betterwon 100%, needs 51% |
| Last 10 games | 7 of 1070%needs 51% to break even | 44%–87% | 19 points betterwon 70%, needs 51% |
| Last 15 games | 8 of 1553%needs 51% to break even | 33%–72% | 3 points betterwon 53%, needs 51% |
| This season | 6 of 6100%needs 51% to break even | 69%–100% | 49 points betterwon 100%, needs 51% |
| Last season | 3 of 1323%needs 51% to break even | 10%–46% | 28 points shortwon 23%, needs 51% |
| Every game | 9 of 1947%needs 51% to break even | 30%–65% | 3 points shortwon 47%, needs 51% |
Tonight USU plays on the road, as the underdog, after a win, against TXST. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
USU points in each game against under 23.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | USU points | Beat 23.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 9 | 17 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Oct 3 | 18 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Sep 26 | 21 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Sep 19 | 0 | +23.5 | Won | |
| Sep 12 | 14 | +9.5 | Won | |
| Sep 5 | 17 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Last season | ||||
| Dec 22 | 21 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Nov 28 | 24 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 22 | 28 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 15 | 26 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 8 | 51 | -27.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 25 | 14 | +9.5 | Won | |
| Oct 17 | 30 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 11 | 26 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 27 | 35 | -11.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 20 | 48 | -24.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 13 | AFA | 49 | -25.5 | Lost |
| Sep 6 | 22 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Aug 30 | 28 | -4.5 | Lost | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 20.5 team totalUtah State Aggies · Sat, Oct 24, 7:30 PM ET | -191at Kalshi | 12 of 13· last season92%needs 66% to break even | Record is last season's | -26.1Not beating its price | |
| Over 23.5 team totalUtah State Aggies · Sat, Oct 24, 7:30 PM ET | -121at Kalshi | 10 of 13· last season77%needs 55% to break even | Record is last season's | -26.2Not beating its price | |
| Over 27.5 team totalUtah State Aggies · Sat, Oct 24, 7:30 PM ET | +152at Kalshi | 7 of 13· last season54%needs 40% to break even | Record is last season's | -22.6Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
This team's other lines in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.