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NCAAFGame line1st half spread
USU 1H +6.5 (1st half spread)
Won8 of 13last season · 62%
Best price+119Kalshi
Price needs45.7%wins to break even
Every game11 of 19this season and last
Trend score-13.6Not beating its price
How often it won
This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 46% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 46% to break even | 14%–73% | 6 points shortwon 40%, needs 46% |
| Last 10 games | 5 of 1050%needs 46% to break even | 27%–73% | 4 points betterwon 50%, needs 46% |
| Last 15 games | 8 of 1553%needs 46% to break even | 33%–72% | 8 points betterwon 53%, needs 46% |
| This season | 3 of 650%needs 46% to break even | 22%–78% | 4 points betterwon 50%, needs 46% |
| Last season | 8 of 1362%needs 46% to break even | 39%–80% | 16 points betterwon 62%, needs 46% |
| Every game | 11 of 1958%needs 46% to break even | 39%–74% | 12 points betterwon 58%, needs 46% |
Games like tonight
Tonight USU plays on the road, as the underdog, after a win, against TXST. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Every book's price
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USU 1H +6.5 (1st half spread)1 book
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every game behind it
1H margin in each game against usu 1h +6.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | 1H margin | Beat -6.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 9 |  WSU | -13 | -6.5 | Lost |
| Oct 3 |  BOIS | -18 | -11.5 | Lost |
| Sep 26 |  TROY | -3 | +3.5 | Won |
| Sep 19 |  UTAH | -26 | -19.5 | Lost |
| Sep 12 |  WASH | -3 | +3.5 | Won |
| Sep 5 |  IDST | -6 | +0.5 | Won |
| Last season | ||||
| Dec 22 | WSU | -14 | -7.5 | Lost |
| Nov 28 | BOIS | 8 | +14.5 | Won |
| Nov 22 |  FRES | -10 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Nov 15 |  UNLV | 3 | +9.5 | Won |
| Nov 8 |  NEV | 41 | +47.5 | Won |
| Oct 25 |  UNM | -19 | -12.5 | Lost |
| Oct 17 |  SJSU | 1 | +7.5 | Won |
| Oct 11 |  HAW | -4 | +2.5 | Won |
| Sep 27 |  VAN | -10 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Sep 20 |  MCN | 27 | +33.5 | Won |
| Sep 13 | AFA | 4 | +10.5 | Won |
| Sep 6 |  TA&M | -24 | -17.5 | Lost |
| Aug 30 |  UTEP | 10 | +16.5 | Won |
Every number on this bet
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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More on Utah State Aggies in this game
This team's other lines in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.