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NCAAFGame line3rd quarter total
Over 10.5 (3rd quarter total)
Won7 of 14last season · 50%
Best price+129Kalshi
Price needs43.7%wins to break even
Every game11 of 21this season and last
Trend score-16.1Not beating its price
How often it won
This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 44% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 44% to break even | 14%–73% | 4 points shortwon 40%, needs 44% |
| Last 10 games | 4 of 1040%needs 44% to break even | 19%–65% | 4 points shortwon 40%, needs 44% |
| Last 15 games | 6 of 1540%needs 44% to break even | 22%–61% | 4 points shortwon 40%, needs 44% |
| This season | 4 of 757%needs 44% to break even | 29%–81% | 13 points betterwon 57%, needs 44% |
| Last season | 7 of 1450%needs 44% to break even | 30%–70% | 6 points betterwon 50%, needs 44% |
| Every game | 11 of 2152%needs 44% to break even | 35%–69% | 9 points betterwon 52%, needs 44% |
Games like tonight
Tonight UVA plays at home, as the favorite, after a loss, against DUKE. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Every book's price
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Over 10.5 (3rd quarter total)1 book
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every game behind it
3Q total points in each game against over 10.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | 3Q total points | Beat 10.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 17 |  SMU | 6 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Oct 10 |  SYR | 7 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Oct 3 |  FSU | 14 | +3.5 | Won |
| Sep 26 |  DEL | 7 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Sep 19 |  WVU | 14 | +3.5 | Won |
| Sep 11 |  NORF | 14 | +3.5 | Won |
| Aug 29 |  NCSU | 15 | +4.5 | Won |
| Last season | ||||
| Dec 27 |  MIZ | 10 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Dec 6 |  DUKE | 6 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Nov 29 |  VT | 10 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Nov 15 | DUKE | 14 | +3.5 | Won |
| Nov 8 |  WAKE | 6 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Nov 1 |  CAL | 14 | +3.5 | Won |
| Oct 25 |  UNC | 0 | -10.5 | Lost |
| Oct 18 |  WSU | 6 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Oct 4 |  LOU | 10 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Sep 26 | FSU | 14 | +3.5 | Won |
| Sep 20 |  STAN | 16 | +5.5 | Won |
| Sep 13 |  W&M | 17 | +6.5 | Won |
| Sep 6 | NCSU | 28 | +17.5 | Won |
| Aug 30 |  CCU | 21 | +10.5 | Won |
Every number on this bet
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The opposite bet
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 10.5 3rd quarter totalVirginia Cavaliers · Today 7:00 PM ET |  -183at Kalshi | 9 of 15· last 15 games60%needs 65% to break even | -27.9Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
More on Virginia Cavaliers in this game
This team's other lines in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.