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NCAAFGame line2nd quarter spread
UVA 2Q -2.5 (2nd quarter spread)
Won5 of 10last 10 games · 50%
Best price+109Kalshi
Price needs47.8%wins to break even
Every game9 of 21this season and last
Trend score-22.3Not beating its price
How often it won
This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 48% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 1 of 520%needs 48% to break even | 5%–56% | 28 points shortwon 20%, needs 48% |
| Last 10 games | 5 of 1050%needs 48% to break even | 27%–73% | 2 points betterwon 50%, needs 48% |
| Last 15 games | 6 of 1540%needs 48% to break even | 22%–61% | 8 points shortwon 40%, needs 48% |
| This season | 3 of 743%needs 48% to break even | 19%–71% | 5 points shortwon 43%, needs 48% |
| Last season | 6 of 1443%needs 48% to break even | 24%–64% | 5 points shortwon 43%, needs 48% |
| Every game | 9 of 2143%needs 48% to break even | 27%–60% | 5 points shortwon 43%, needs 48% |
Games like tonight
Tonight UVA plays at home, as the favorite, after a loss, against DUKE. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Every book's price
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UVA 2Q -2.5 (2nd quarter spread)1 book
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every game behind it
2Q margin in each game against uva 2q -2.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | 2Q margin | Beat 2.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 17 |  SMU | 0 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Oct 10 |  SYR | -10 | -12.5 | Lost |
| Oct 3 |  FSU | -17 | -19.5 | Lost |
| Sep 26 |  DEL | 18 | +15.5 | Won |
| Sep 19 |  WVU | -14 | -16.5 | Lost |
| Sep 11 |  NORF | 4 | +1.5 | Won |
| Aug 29 |  NCSU | 7 | +4.5 | Won |
| Last season | ||||
| Dec 27 |  MIZ | 3 | +0.5 | Won |
| Dec 6 |  DUKE | 0 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Nov 29 |  VT | 7 | +4.5 | Won |
| Nov 15 | DUKE | 7 | +4.5 | Won |
| Nov 8 |  WAKE | -7 | -9.5 | Lost |
| Nov 1 |  CAL | 0 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Oct 25 |  UNC | -3 | -5.5 | Lost |
| Oct 18 |  WSU | -10 | -12.5 | Lost |
| Oct 4 |  LOU | 0 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Sep 26 | FSU | -7 | -9.5 | Lost |
| Sep 20 |  STAN | 0 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Sep 13 |  W&M | 21 | +18.5 | Won |
| Sep 6 | NCSU | 3 | +0.5 | Won |
| Aug 30 |  CCU | 21 | +18.5 | Won |
Every number on this bet
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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More on Virginia Cavaliers in this game
This team's other lines in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.